Resource assessment of methane hydrate (MH) in the eastern Nankai Trough was conducted through probabilistic approach using 2D/3D seismic data and drilling survey data from METI exploratory test wells " Tokai-oki to Kumano-nada??. We have extracted more than 10 prospective " MH concentrated zones?? characterized by high resistivity in well log, strong seismic reflectors, seismic high velocity, and turbidite deposit delineated by sedimentary facies analysis. The amount of methane gas contained in MH bearing layers was calculated using volumetric method for each zone. Each parameter, such as gross rock volume (GRV), net-to-gross ratio (N/G), MH pore saturation (Sh), porosity, cage occupancy, and volume ratio was given as probabilistic distribution for Monte Carlo simulation, considering the uncertainly of these evaluations. The GRV for each hydrate bearing zones was calculated from both strong seismic amplitude anomaly and velocity anomaly. Time-to-depth conversion was conducted using interval velocity derived from Seismic Vision While Drilling (SVWD). Risk factor was applied for the estimation of the GRV in 2D seismic area considering the uncertainty of seismic interpretation. The N/G was determined based on the relationship between LWD resistivity and grain size in zones with existing wells. Seismic facies map created by sequence stratigraphic approach was also used for the determination of the N/G in zone without well controls. Porosity was estimated using density log, together with calibration by core analysis. The Sh was estimated by the combination of density log and NMR log, together with the calibration by observed gas volume from onboard MH dissociation tests using Pressure Temperature Core Sampler (PTCS). The Sh in zone without well control was estimated using relationship between seismic P-wave interval velocity and Sh from NMR log at well location. Total amount of methane gas in place contained in MH within survey area in the eastern Nankai Trough was estimated to be 40 tcf as Pmean value. Total gas in place for MH concentrated zone was estimated to be 20 tcf (Half of total amount) as Pmean value. Sensitivity analysis indicated that the N/G and Sh have higher sensitivity than other parameters, and they are important for further detail analysis. Introduction Seismic data from the Nankai Trough, offshore central Japan, indicates widespread distribution of bottom simulating reflectors (BSR) 1 that are interpreted to represent lower boundary of methane hydrate (MH) bearing zones. MH in the Nankai Trough is a potential natural gas resource, however, the volume, distribution, and occurrence of MH in this area is poorly understood. In 1999, MH-bearing sand-rich intervals in turbidite fan deposits were recognized from the eastern Nankai Trough based on results of MITI (Ministry of International Trade and Industry) " Nankai Trough?? wells2, 3. Based on this exploration result, the Japanese government inaugurated a 16-year MH exploration program in 2001. As a part of this program, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI), Japan, drilled the " Tokai-oki to Kumano-nada?? exploratory test wells from January to May 2004, in order to obtain data for understanding the occurrence of MH and estimating resource potential4, 5. In this campaign we carried out logging-while-drilling (LWD) at 16 sites, coring at four sites, wireline logging at two sites, and long-term monitoring of formation temperature at single site5,6,7 (Figure 1). Using following data set, we conducted MH resource assessment in the survey area in 2005 and 2006. Figure 2 shows the flow chart of the resource assessment.
Aiming commercialization of methane hydrate development, the Research Consortium for Methane Hydrate Resources in Japan (MH21) has been executing geological and geophysical surveys around the eastern Nankai Trough since 2001 as a national project. Interpretation and analysis studies based on 2D/3D reflection seismic surveys, multi-wells drilling campaign and other geological surveys revealed existences of methane hydrate concentrated zones, of which reservoirs were composed of turbidite sand layers. In the view of resource explorations, methane hydrate concentrated zones are more attractive than other methane hydrate bearing zones because they can reserve much amount of methane hydrate locally. We developed an optimal interpretation workflow for delineation of methane hydrate concentrated zones. The workflow includes evaluation and integration of following four indicators:BSR,Turbidite sequnece,Strong seismic reflector andrelatively higher interval velocity. It enabled in the eastern Nankai Trough to extract more than 10 methane hydrate concentrated zones and evaluate their rock volume successfully.
A reflection method using waveform data of natural earthquakes is successfully applied for imaging a mid-crustal structure below the focal zone of the 1984 Western Nagano Prefecture Earthquake. We use digital waveform data of about 300 aftershocks at 27 telemetering stations operated by the 1986 Joint Seismological Research in Western Nagano Prefecture. Seismograms observed at each station from many events are plotted in the order of their hypocenter locations, and the AAC (automatic amplitude control) and the NMO (normal moveout) corrections are made for these seismograms. The NMO correction is made by using parameters of hypocenter locations which are very precisely determined by arrival times of the 27 telemetering stations distributed above the focal area. In the seismic section thus obtained, we found two branches of very clear S-wave reflection from the mid-crust. Estimated reflection coefficients for the reflected waves suggest the two reflectors to be the upper surfaces of unusually low rigidity materials, such as a magma body, underlying the focal zone of the 1984 event. The estimated deeper reflector after migration dips toward east-northeast with an angle of about 40 degrees and the other reflector (shallower one) becomes deep toward west-southwest with an angle of about 20 degrees. It was found that the upward extension of the deeper reflector coincides with the western end of the focal area of the 1984 event. The shallower reflector is nearly parallel to and about 2 km apart from the cut-off depth for aftershocks of the 1984 event. Close geometrical relationship between the reflectors and the focal area suggests that the anomalous materials below the focal area play an important role for the stress accumulation within the seismogenic zone above them.
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