This paper considers an endogenous growth model that belongs to the same family as the Lucas model. In the Lucas model an external effect appears in the physical‐goods sector, whereas in our model, it appears in the educational sector. In our model, this external effect yields multiple balanced growth paths. Our model undergoes a homoclinic bifurcation and exhibits global indeterminacy of equilibrium.
In the present paper, we construct a continuous time model of economic growth with positive externalities and with variable capacity utilization, and study the global equilibrium paths in this model. If there is a homoclinic orbit or a periodic solution in this model, equilibrium is globally indeterminate. We show that positive externalities can yield multiple steady states, a one‐parameter family of homoclinic orbits, and a two‐parameter family of periodic solutions. It is also shown that there exists a sunspot equilibrium in this model.
First we treat a three-dimensional continuous time abstract stationary model that includes one predetermined variable and two non-predetermined variables. We construct stationary sunspot equilibria in this model under the following two alternative conditions: (i) a steady state has two stable roots and one unstable root; and (ii) A closed orbit has a two-dimensional manifold on which it is asymptotically stable. Next, we apply these results to the models due to Lucas and Romer that undergo Hopf bifurcations for some parameter values. We construct sunspot equilibria in these models.
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