Linear probability model estimation yields the average effects of the treatment on patients that were treated. IV estimation yields the average effects for patients whose treatment choices were affected by the instrument. As antibiotic treatment effects are heterogeneous across OM patients, our estimates from these approaches are aligned with clinical evidence and theory. The average estimate for treated patients (higher severity) from the LPM model is greater than estimates for patients whose treatment choices are affected by the instrument (lower severity) from the IV models. Based on our IV estimates it appears that lowering antibiotic use in OM patients in Iowa Medicaid did not result in lost cures.
Objective: To determine whether rapid administration of a crystalloid bolus of 30 mL/kg within 3 hours of presentation harms or benefits hypotensive patients with sepsis with a history of congestive heart failure (CHF). Patients and Methods: A retrospective cohort study using Medicare claims data enhanced by medical record data from members of the High Value Healthcare Collaborative from July 1, 2013, to June 30, 2015, examining patients with a history of CHF who did (fluid bundle compliant [FBC]) or did not (NFBC) receive a volume bolus of 30 mL/kg within 3 hours of presentation to the emergency department. A proportional Cox hazard model was used to evaluate the association of FBC with 1-year survival. Results: Of the 211 patients examined, 190 were FBC and 21 were NFBC. The FBC patients had higher average hierarchical condition category scores but were otherwise similar to NFBC patients. The NFBC patients had higher adjusted in-hospital and postdischarge mortality rates. The risk-adjusted 1-year mortality rate was higher for NFBC patients (hazard ratio, 2.18; 95% CI, 1.2 to 4.0; P¼.01) than for FBC patients. Conclusion: In a retrospective claim data-based study of elderly patients with a history of CHF presenting with severe sepsis or septic shock, there is an association of improved mortality with adherence to the initial fluid resuscitation guidelines as part of the 3-hour sepsis bundle.
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