ObjectivesThe identification of patients at risk of developing a severe form of acute pancreatitis is a major issue. The goal of this study was to identify parameters at admission associated with severe pancreatitis to develop a predictive severity score.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective study at Caen University Hospital between January 2014 and December 2017, including 504 patients hospitalized for acute pancreatitis, of whom 74 had a severe form. We developed a predictive score named Admission Severe Acute Pancreatitis (ASAP) score based on parameters associated with a severe form in multivariate analysis. We validated our score in an independent validation cohort of 80 patients.ResultsHypothermia, low oxygen saturation or albumin levels, and high creatinine levels were significantly associated with severe pancreatitis. The ASAP score showed notable predictive accuracy (area under receiver operating characteristic, 0.82), which was significantly higher than Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, persistent Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome, and Balthazar. Using the −2.1742 threshold, the ASAP score had a sensitivity and specificity of 74% and a negative predictive value of 95%. These predictive performances for ASAP score were confirmed in the validation cohort.ConclusionsThe ASAP score demonstrates remarkable predictive accuracy in distinguishing severe forms of acute pancreatitis.
Background: Chemotherapy options in patients with advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) after failure of standard chemotherapies are limited. Objectives: We aimed to report the efficacy and safety of the leucovorin and 5-fluorouracil (LV5FU2) and carboplatin combination in this setting. Design: We performed a retrospective study including consecutive patients with advanced PDAC who received LV5FU2–carboplatin between 2009 and 2021 in an expert center. Methods: We measured overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), and explored associated factors using Cox proportional hazard models. Results: In all, 91 patients were included (55% male, median age 62), with a performance status of 0/1 in 74% of cases. LV5FU2–carboplatin was mainly used in third (59.3%) or fourth line (23.1%), with three (interquartile range: 2.0–6.0) cycles administered on average. The clinical benefit rate was 25.2%. Median PFS was 2.7 months (95% CI: 2.4–3.0). At multivariable analysis, no extrahepatic metastases ( p = 0.083), no ascites or opioid-requiring pain ( p = 0.023), <2 prior treatment lines ( p < 0.001), full dose of carboplatin ( p = 0.004), and treatment initiation >18 months after initial diagnosis ( p < 0.001) were associated with longer PFS. Median OS was 4.2 months (95% CI: 3.48–4.92) and was influenced by the presence of extrahepatic metastases ( p = 0.058), opioid-requiring pain or ascites ( p = 0.039), and number of prior treatment lines (0.065). Prior tumor response under oxaliplatin did not impact either PFS or OS. Worsening of preexisting residual neurotoxicity was infrequent (13.2%). The most common grade 3–4 adverse events were neutropenia (24.7%) and thrombocytopenia (11.8%). Conclusion: Although the efficacy of LV5FU2–carboplatin appears limited in patients with pretreated advanced PDAC, it may be beneficial in selected patients.
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