Background-Associations between hospital volume and the risk of stroke or death following carotid endarterectomy (CEA) and carotid artery stenting (CAS) on a national level in Germany were analyzed. Methods and Results-Secondary data analysis using microdata from the nationwide statutory German quality assurance database on all surgical or endovascular carotid interventions on the extracranial carotid artery between 2009 and 2014. Hospitals were categorized into empirically determined quintiles according to the annual case volume. The resulting volume thresholds were 10, 25, 46, and 79 for CEA and 2, 6, 12, and 26 for CAS procedures. The primary outcome was any stroke or death before hospital discharge. For risk-adjusted analyses, a multilevel regression model was applied. The analysis included 161 448 CEA and 17 575 CAS procedures. In CEA patients, the crude risk of stroke or death decreased monotonically from 4.2% (95% confidence interval, 3.6%-4.9%) in low-volume hospitals (first quintile 1-10 CEA per year) to 2.1% (2.0%-2.2%) in hospitals providing ≥80 CEA per year (fifth quintile; P<0.001 for trend). The overall risk of any stroke or death in CAS patients was 3.7% (3.5%-4.0%), but no trend on annual volume was seen (P=0.304). Riskadjusted analyses confirmed a significant inverse relationship between hospital volume (categorized or continuous) and the risk of stroke or death after CEA but not CAS procedures. Conclusions-An inverse volume-outcome relationship in CEA-treated patients was demonstrated. No significant association between hospital volume and the risk of stroke or death was found for CAS. (Circ Cardiovasc Interv. 2016;9:e004171.
IntroductionThe massive-transfusion concept was introduced to recognize the dilutional complications resulting from large volumes of packed red blood cells (PRBCs). Definitions of massive transfusion vary and lack supporting clinical evidence. Damage-control resuscitation regimens of modern trauma care are targeted to the early correction of acute traumatic coagulopathy. The aim of this study was to identify a clinically relevant definition of trauma massive transfusion based on clinical outcomes. We also examined whether the concept was useful in that early prediction of massive transfusion requirements could allow early activation of blood bank protocols.MethodsDatasets on trauma admissions over a 1 or 2-year period were obtained from the trauma registries of five large trauma research networks. A fractional polynomial was used to model the transfusion-associated probability of death. A logistic regression model for the prediction of massive transfusion, defined as 10 or more units of red cell transfusions, was developed.ResultsIn total, 5,693 patient records were available for analysis. Mortality increased as transfusion requirements increased, but the model indicated no threshold effect. Mortality was 9% in patients who received none to five PRBC units, 22% in patients receiving six to nine PRBC units, and 42% in patients receiving 10 or more units. A logistic model for prediction of massive transfusion was developed and validated at multiple sites but achieved only moderate performance. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.81, with specificity of only 50% at a sensitivity of 90% for the prediction of 10 or more PRBC units. Performance varied widely at different trauma centers, with specificity varying from 48% to 91%.ConclusionsNo threshold for definition exists at which a massive transfusion specifically results in worse outcomes. Even with a large sample size across multiple trauma datasets, it was not possible to develop a transportable and clinically useful prediction model based on available admission parameters. Massive transfusion as a concept in trauma has limited utility, and emphasis should be placed on identifying patients with massive hemorrhage and acute traumatic coagulopathy.
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