Tropical forests harbor extremely high levels of biological diversity and are quickly disappearing. Despite the increasingly recognized high rate of habitat loss, it is expected that new species will be discovered as more effort is put to document tropical biodiversity. Exploring under-studied regions is particularly urgent if we consider the rapid changes in habitat due to anthropogenic activities. Madagascar is known for its extraordinary biological diversity and endemicity. It is also threatened by habitat loss and fragmentation. It holds more than 100 endemic primate species (lemurs). Among these, Microcebus (mouse lemurs) is one of the more diverse genera.We sampled mouse lemurs from several sites across northern Madagascar, including forests never sampled before. We obtained morphological data from 99 Microcebus individuals; we extracted DNA from tissue samples of 42 individuals and amplified two mitochondrial loci (cytb and cox2) commonly used for species identification. Our findings update the distribution of three species (Microcebus tavaratra, Microcebus arnholdi, and Microcebus mamiratra), including a major increase in the distribution *Gabriele Maria Sgarlata and Jordi Salmona are shared first co-authors. area of M. arnholdi. We also report the discovery of a new Microcebus lineage genetically related to M. arnholdi. Several complementary approaches suggest that the newly identified Microcebus lineage might correspond to a new putative species, to be confirmed or rejected with additional data. In addition, morphological analyses showed (a) clear phenotypic differences between M. tavaratra and M. arnholdi, but no clear differences between the new Microcebus lineage and the sister species M. arnholdi; and (b) a significant correlation between climatic variables and morphology, suggesting a possible relationship between species identity, morphology, and environment. By integrating morphological, climatic, genetic, and spatial data of two northern Microcebus species, we show that the spatial distribution of forestdwelling species may be used as a proxy to reconstruct the past spatial changes in forest cover and vegetation type.

Migratory behaviour is rapidly changing in response to recent environmental changes, yet it is difficult to predict how migration will evolve in the future. To understand what determines the rate of adaptive evolutionary change in migratory behaviour, we simulated the evolution of residency using an individual-based threshold model, which allows for variation in selection, number of genes, environmental effects and assortative mating. Our model indicates that the recent reduction in migratory activity found in a population of Eurasian blackcaps (Sylvia atricapilla) is only compatible with this trait being under strong directional selection, in which residents have the highest fitness and fitness declines exponentially with migration distance. All other factors had minor effects on the adaptive response. Under this form of selection, a completely migratory population will become partially migratory in 6 and completely resident in 98 generations, demonstrating the persistence of partial migration, even under strong directional selection. Resident populations will preserve large amounts of cryptic genetic variation, particularly if migration is controlled by a large number of genes with small effects. This model can be used to realistically simulate the evolution of any threshold trait, including semi-continuous traits like migration, for predicting evolutionary response to natural selection in the wild.

Throughout Earth's natural history, habitats have undergone drastic changes in quality and extent, influencing the distribution of species and their diversity. In the last few hundred years, human activities have destroyed natural habitats at an unprecedent rate, converting continuous habitat into fragmented and isolated patches. Recent global metanalyses suggest that habitat loss and fragmentation (HL&F) has negatively impacted the genetic diversity of many taxa across the world. These conclusions have been drawn by comparing present-day genetic patterns from populations occurring in continuous and fragmented landscapes. In this work, we attempted to go beyond 'pattern' and investigate through simulations some of the 'processes' that influence genetic variation in the context of HL&F. Since most species have a geographically restricted dispersal (known as 'isolation-by-distance', IBD), we studied the impact of HL&F on isolation-by-distance. We characterised the behaviour of IBD in the case of i) instantaneous HL&F, ii) gradual (two-steps) HL&F, and iii) instantaneous HL&F following range expansion. In addition, we propose a spatially-explicit theoretical framework by modifying the original theoretical results on isolation-by-distance (Slatkin, 1991; Slatkin, 1993) and apply them to a toroidal stepping-stone model in the context of HL&F. Our results suggest that isolation-by-distance can be maintained for relatively long time after HL&F, thus pointing to the long-term importance of spatial genetic structure in species genetic diversity. In addition, our results may explain why present-day fragmented population still show significant IBD pattern although being disconnected.

Natural climate change and recent anthropogenic activities have largely contributed to habitat loss and fragmentation across the world, leading to 70% of worldwide remaining forests to be within 1 km of forest edges (Haddad et al., 2015). Ecological studies have shown that edge-effect influences ecological communities, species richness and abundance across many taxa, contributing to worldwide decline in biodiversity. Since edge-effect reduces species abundance and connectivity, it is also expected to negatively influence species genetic variation. In fact, previous theoretical studies had showed that populations closer to the edges of a finite stepping-stone model tends to have shorter coalescence times, and therefore, lower genetic diversity, than central populations. However, predicting the impact of edge effect on local genetic diversity remains challenging in realistic and more complex habitat fragments, where the additive effect of multiple edges is expected to take place. In the present study we explore the genetic consequence of habitat loss at the scale of a habitat fragment (patch-scale), looking at the interplay between patch-size and edge-effect on spatial genetic diversity. We propose a statistical approach to estimate edge-impacted effective population size from habitat cover information and use this measure to predict spatial genetic diversity in both equilibrium and non-equilibrium populations. We address these questions using spatially-explicit simulations and propose a spatially-explicit analytical framework able to model spatio-temporal changes in genetic diversity due to edge-effect and habitat loss.

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