The popular JF12 analytic model by Jansson & Farrar (2012) provides a quantitative description of the Galaxy's large-scale magnetic field, which is widely used in various astrophysical applications. However, both the poloidal X-type component and the spiral disk component of JF12 exhibit regions in which the magnetic divergence constraint is violated. We first propose a cure for this problem, resulting in a truly solenoidal large-scale spiral field. Second, the otherwise straight field lines of the X-type component exhibit kinks in the Galactic plane that, in addition to implying the presence of a singular current sheet, may pose difficulties for e.g., numerical tracing of cosmic-ray particles. We propose and discuss two possible strategies to mitigate this problem. Although all corrections are kept as minimal as possible, the extended set of model parameters will have to be carefully readjusted in order to fully restore the agreement to observational data that the unmodified JF12 field is based on. Furthermore, the performance of our improved version of the field model is quantitatively assessed by test simulations using the CRPropa Galactic cosmic-ray propagation code.

In recent years, instanton calculus has successfully been employed to estimate tail probabilities of rare events in various stochastic dynamical systems. Without further corrections, however, these estimates can only capture the exponential scaling. In this paper, we derive a general, closed form expression for the leading prefactor contribution of the fluctuations around the instanton trajectory for the computation of probability density functions of general observables. The key technique is applying the Gel’fand–Yaglom recursive evaluation method to the suitably discretized Gaussian path integral of the fluctuations, in order to obtain matrix evolution equations that yield the fluctuation determinant. We demonstrate agreement between these predictions and direct sampling for examples motivated from turbulence theory.

We investigate the spatio-temporal structure of the most likely configurations realizing extremely high vorticity or strain in the stochastically forced three-dimensional incompressible Navier–Stokes equations. Most likely configurations are computed by numerically finding the highest probability velocity field realizing an extreme constraint as solution of a large optimization problem. High-vorticity configurations are identified as pinched vortex filaments with swirl, while high-strain configurations correspond to counter-rotating vortex rings. We additionally observe that the most likely configurations for vorticity and strain spontaneously break their rotational symmetry for extremely high observable values. Instanton calculus and large deviation theory allow us to show that these maximum likelihood realizations determine the tail probabilities of the observed quantities. In particular, we are able to demonstrate that artificially enforcing rotational symmetry for large strain configurations leads to a severe underestimate of their probability, as it is dominated in likelihood by an exponentially more likely symmetry-broken vortex-sheet configuration. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Mathematical problems in physical fluid dynamics (part 2)’.

Sharp large deviation estimates for stochastic differential equations with small noise, based on minimizing the Freidlin–Wentzell action functional under appropriate boundary conditions, can be obtained by integrating certain matrix Riccati differential equations along the large deviation minimizers or instantons, either forward or backward in time. Previous works in this direction often rely on the existence of isolated minimizers with positive definite second variation. By adopting techniques from field theory and explicitly evaluating the large deviation prefactors as functional determinant ratios using Forman’s theorem, we extend the approach to general systems where degenerate submanifolds of minimizers exist. The key technique for this is a boundary-type regularization of the second variation operator. This extension is particularly relevant if the system possesses continuous symmetries that are broken by the instantons. We find that removing the vanishing eigenvalues associated with the zero modes is possible within the Riccati formulation and amounts to modifying the initial or final conditions and evaluation of the Riccati matrices. We apply our results in multiple examples including a dynamical phase transition for the average surface height in short-time large deviations of the one-dimensional Kardar–Parisi–Zhang equation with flat initial profile.