Purpose Currently, there is no reliable tool to predict response to intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG). Based on the fact that BCG is a Th1-polarizing immunotherapy, we attempt to correlate the pretreatment immunologic tumor microenvironment (Th1 or Th2) with response to therapy. Materials and methods Bladder cancer patients with initial diagnosis of carcinoma in situ (Tis) were stratified based on their response to BCG treatment. A total of 38 patients met inclusion criteria (20 patients who responded and 18 patients who did not respond). Immunohistochemical (IHC) methods known to assess the type of immunologic microenvironment (Th1 vs. Th2) were performed on tumor tissue obtained at initial biopsy/resection: the level of tumor eosinophil infiltration and degranulation (Th2 response); the number of tumor-infiltrating GATA-3+ (Th2-polarized) lymphocytes; and the number of tumor-infiltrating T-bet+ (Th1-polarized) lymphocytes. Results obtained from these metrics were correlated with response to treatment with BCG immunotherapy. Results The IHC metrics of the tumor immune microenvironment prior to BCG treatment were each statistically significant predictors of responders (R) vs. nonresponders (NR). Eosinophil infiltration and degranulation was higher for R vs. NR: 1.02±0.17 vs. 0.5±0.12 (P = 0.01) and 1.1±0.15 vs. 0.56±0.15 (P = 0.04), respectively. Ratio of GATA-3+ (Th2-polarized) lymphocytes to T-bet+ (Th1-polarized) lymphocytes was higher for R vs. NR: 4.85±0.94 vs. 0.98±0.19 (P<0.001). The 3 markers were combined to create a Th2 signature biomarker, which was a statistically significant (P<0.0001) predictor of R vs. NR. All IHC markers demonstrated that a preexisting Th1 immunologic environment within the tumor was predictive of BCG failure. Conclusion The Th1 vs. Th2 polarization of bladder tumor immune microenvironment prior to treatment with BCG represents a prognostic metric of response to therapy. If a patient has a preexisting Th1 immunologic response within the tumor, there is no value in using a therapy intended to create a Th1 immunologic response. An algorithm integrating 3 IHC methods provided a sensitive and specific technique that may become a useful tool for pathologists and urologists to predict response to BCG in patients with carcinoma in situ of the bladder.

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Background: Pathological complete response (pCR) is accepted by FDA as a surrogate endpoint for accelerated approval of targeted agents in combination with chemotherapy based on better long-term outcomes compared to residual disease (Cortazar 2014). Methods: The multi-center, adaptively-randomized I-SPY2 platform trial uses pCR as the primary endpoint to identify investigational agents that will improve outcomes in women with stage 2/3 breast cancer with high risk of early recurrence, across all signatures, based on hormone receptor (HR), HER2, and 70-gene (MammaPrint) status. For patients with HR+ HER2- tumors, only 70-gene (Mammaprint) high-risk patients are enrolled. To date, 1200+ patients have been randomized to one of 14 arms: control (paclitaxel followed by AC); veliparib/carboplatin; neratinib; MK2206; trebananib; trastuzumab/pertuzumab; ado-trastuzumab emtansine/pertuzumab; pembrolizumabx4; ganitumab/metformin; ganetespib; PLX-3397. 7 agents graduated in at least one signature (&gt; 85% probability of success in a 300-patient phase III confirmatory trial); 2 did not graduate; 1 stopped for toxicity, and 3 are enrolling (patritumab/trastuzumab, talazoparib/irinotecan, pembrolizumabx8). Local pathologists were centrally trained using the Residual Cancer Burden (RCB) assessment to ensure uniform evaluation and response classification; RCB 0 = pCR. Results: We evaluated the relationship between pCR and event free (EFS) and distant disease free survival (DDFS) in the first 522 pts (median follow-up:2.5 years). 180 pts achieved pCR (36%) while 338 did not (RCB=1-3). There were 82 EFS and 65 DRFS events. Over the entire group (including all arms), pCR was highly associated with 3-year EFS (p&lt;0.001 for both). Pts achieving pCR had a 3% recurrence risk (RR) at 3 years; those with non-pCR had 24% RR over this time period. For distant recurrence, the 3-year RR with pCR was 2%, compared to 20% in pts with non-pCR. As expected, pCR rates varied by breast cancer subtype (HR+/HER2: 18% (35/196), HR+/HER2+: 40% (33/82), HR-/HER2+:68% (34/50), HR-/HER2-:41% (76/188)). The relationship between pCR and EFS was significant and clinically impactful within each subtype.  3-year survival (pCR group)Hazard Ratio OverallOverallHR+/HER2-HER2+TNBCEFS97%0.08 (0.03-0.23)0.14 (0.02-1.04)0 (NA)0.11 (0.03-0.37)DDFS98%0.08 (0.03-0.26)0.17 (0.01-1.23)0 (NA)0.09 (0.02-0.40) Conclusions: The first long-term efficacy results from the I-SPY2 TRIAL demonstrate that achieving pCR is a very strong surrogate endpoint for improved EFS and DDFS in a high-risk population, across all treatment arms, regardless of subtype. I-SPY2 shows substantially lower estimated EFS hazards for patients achieving pCR, compared to the 5 yr EFS hazard ratio for pCR vs not in Cortazar (hazard ratio 0.49), demonstrating important differences between a metaanalysis compared to a platform trial with uniform high-risk eligibility, standardized pathology assessment, and multiple targeted therapies. Our data support the use of pCR as a primary endpoint for accelerated approval of new drugs if EFS is evaluated in the same population. Based on these findings, the I-SPY2 TRIAL will test whether therapy can be deescalated or escalated for individual patients with the goal of achieving pCR for all. Citation Format: Yee D, DeMichele A, Isaacs C, Symmans F, Yau C, Albain KS, Hylton NM, Forero-Torres A, van't Veer LJ, Perlmutter J, Rugo HS, Melisko M, Chen Y-Y, Balassanian R, Krings G, Datnow B, Hasteh F, Tipps A, Weidner N, Zhang H, Tickman R, Thornton S, Ritter J, Amin K, Klein M, Chen B, Keeney G, Ocal T, Feldman M, Klipfel N, Sattar H, Mueller J, Gwin K, Baker G, Kallakury B, Zeck J, Duan X, Ersahin C, Gamez R, Troxell M, Mansoor A, Grasso LeBeau L, Sams S, Wisell J, Wei S, Harada S, Vinh T, Stamatakos MD, Tawfik O, Fan F, Adams A, Rendi M, Minton S, Magliocco A, Sahoo S, Fang Y, Hirst G, Singhrao R, Asare SM, Wallace AM, Chien AJ, Ellis ED, Han HS, Clark AS, Boughey JC, Elias AD, Nanda R, Korde L, Murthy R, Lang J, Northfelt D, Khan Q, Edmiston KK, Viscusi R, Haley B, Kemmer K, Zelnak A, Berry DA, Esserman LJ. Pathological complete response predicts event-free and distant disease-free survival in the I-SPY2 TRIAL [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2017 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2017 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(4 Suppl):Abstract nr GS3-08.