Aims This study aims to improve risk stratification for primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implantation by developing a new mutation-specific prediction model for malignant ventricular arrhythmia (VA) in phospholamban (PLN) p.Arg14del mutation carriers. The proposed model is compared to an existing PLN risk model. Methods and results Data were collected from PLN p.Arg14del mutation carriers with no history of malignant VA at baseline, identified between 2009 and 2020. Malignant VA was defined as sustained VA, appropriate ICD intervention, or (aborted) sudden cardiac death. A prediction model was developed using Cox regression. The study cohort consisted of 679 PLN p.Arg14del mutation carriers, with a minority of index patients (17%) and male sex (43%), and a median age of 42 years [interquartile range (IQR) 27–55]. During a median follow-up of 4.3 years (IQR 1.7–7.4), 72 (10.6%) carriers experienced malignant VA. Significant predictors were left ventricular ejection fraction, premature ventricular contraction count/24 h, amount of negative T waves, and presence of low-voltage electrocardiogram. The multivariable model had an excellent discriminative ability {C-statistic 0.83 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.78–0.88]}. Applying the existing PLN risk model to the complete cohort yielded a C-statistic of 0.68 (95% CI 0.61–0.75). Conclusion This new mutation-specific prediction model for individual VA risk in PLN p.Arg14del mutation carriers is superior to the existing PLN risk model, suggesting that risk prediction using mutation-specific phenotypic features can improve accuracy compared to a more generic approach.

FLNA-MVD is a developmental and degenerative disease with complex phenotypic expression which can influence patient management. FLNA-MVD has unique features with both MVP and paradoxical restricted motion in diastole, sub-valvular mitral apparatus impairment and polyvalvular lesions in males. FLNA-MVD conveys a substantial lifetime risk of valve surgery in men.

In contrast to women, adult men with an ASD2 have worse survival than a sex-matched general population. Male patients also have a greater risk of morbidity during adult life. Sex disparity in survival and morbidity suggests the need for a sex-specific clinical approach towards these patients.

So far only mutations in the filamin A gene (FLNA) have been identified as causing familial mitral valve prolapse (MVP). Previous studies have linked dysregulation of the transforming growth factor beta (TGF-β) cytokine family to MVP. We investigated whether mutations in the TGF-β receptors genes type I (TGFBR1) and II (TGFBR2) underlie isolated familial MVP cases. Eight families with isolated familial MVP were evaluated clinically and genetically. Ventricular arrhythmias were present in five of the eight families and sudden cardiac death occurred in six patients. Tissue obtained during mitral valve surgery or autopsy was available for histological examination in six cases; all demonstrated myxomatous degeneration. A previously described FLNA missense mutation (p.G288R) was identified in one large family, but no mutations were discovered in TGFBR1 or TGFBR2. An FLNA missense mutation was identified in one family but we found no TGFBR1 or TGFBR2 mutations. Our results suggest that TGFBR1 and TGFBR2 mutations do not play a major role in isolated myxomatous valve dystrophy. Screening for FLNA mutations is recommended in familial myxomatous valvular dystrophy, particularly if X-linked inheritance is suspected.

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