Background and Purpose-The extensive neuroprotective literature describing the efficacy of candidate drugs in focal ischemia has yet to lead to the development of effective stroke treatments. Ideally, the choice of drugs taken forward to clinical trial should be based on an unbiased assessment of all available data. Such an assessment might include not only the efficacy of a drug but also the in vivo characteristics and limits-in terms of time window, dose, species, and model of ischemia used-to that efficacy. To our knowledge, such assessments have not been made. Nicotinamide is a candidate neuroprotective drug with efficacy in experimental stroke, but the limits to and characteristics of that efficacy have not been fully described. Methods-Systematic review and modified meta-analysis of studies of experimental stroke describing the efficacy of nicotinamide. The search strategy ensured ascertainment of studies published in full and those published in abstract only. DerSimonian and Laird random effects meta-analysis was used to account for heterogeneity between studies. Results-Nicotinamide improved outcome by 0.287 (95% confidence interval 0.227 to 0.347); it was more effective in temporary ischemia models, after intravenous administration, in animals without comorbidities, and in studies published in full rather than in abstract. Studies scoring highly on a quality measure gave more precise estimates of the global effect. Conclusions-Meta-analysis provides an effective technique for the aggregation of data from experimental stroke studies.We propose new standards for reporting such studies and a systematic approach to aggregating data from the neuroprotective literature.
FK506 is a candidate drug for acute stroke. For such drugs, any decision to proceed to clinical trial should be based on a full and unbiased assessment of the animal data, and consideration should be given to the limitations of those data. Such an assessment should include not only the efficacy of a drug but also the in vivo characteristics and limits to that efficacy. Here we use systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the evidence for a protective effect of FK506 in animal models of stroke. In all, 29 studies were identified describing procedures involving 1759 animals. The point estimate for the effect of FK506 was a 31.3% (95% confidence interval 27.2% to 35.4%) improvement in outcome. Efficacy was higher with ketamine anaesthesia and temporary ischaemia and was lower in rats, in animals with comorbidities, and where outcome was measured as infarct size alone. Reported study quality was modest by clinical trial standards, and efficacy was lower in high-quality studies. These findings show a substantial efficacy for FK506 in experimental stroke, but raise concerns that our estimate of effect size might be too high because of factors such as study quality and possible publication bias.
Melatonin is a candidate neuroprotective drug for ischaemic stroke. Any decision to proceed to clinical trial for such drugs should be based on an unbiased assessment of all available data. Such an assessment should include not only the efficacy of a drug but also the in vivo characteristics and limits--in terms of time window, dose, species and model of ischaemia used--to that efficacy. Here we use a systematic approach to establish the limits to and characteristics of the neuroprotective efficacy of melatonin in experimental stroke. We have used systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the evidence for a protective effect of melatonin in animal models of focal cerebral ischaemia. Fourteen studies were identified describing procedures involving 432 animals. The point estimate for the effect of melatonin was a 42.8% (95% CI 39.3-46.3%) improvement in outcome. Efficacy was greater when ketamine anaesthesia was used, and melatonin was equally effective in permanent or temporary ischaemia. Study quality was generally poor by clinical trial standards, and no evidence was found regarding the efficacy of melatonin in focal cerebral ischaemia in aged, hypertensive or diabetic animals, in species other than rats, or at time windows beyond 2 hr. These findings demonstrate a marked efficacy of melatonin in animal models of focal cerebral ischaemia, identify priority areas for future animal research, and suggest melatonin as a candidate neuroprotective drug for human stroke.
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