The accurate forecast of air temperature plays an important role in water resources management, land–atmosphere interaction, and agriculture. However, it is difficult to accurately predict air temperature due to its non-linear and chaotic nature. Several deep learning techniques have been proposed over the last few decades to forecast air temperature. This study provides a comprehensive review of artificial neural network (ANN)-based approaches (such as recurrent neural network (RNN), long short-term memory (LSTM), etc.), which were used to forecast air temperature. The focus is on the works during 2005–2020. The review shows that the neural network models can be employed as promising tools to forecast air temperature. Although the ANN-based approaches have been utilized widely to predict air temperature due to their fast computing speed and ability to deal with complex problems, no consensus yet exists on the best existing method. Additionally, it is found that the ANN methods are mainly viable for short-term air temperature forecasting. Finally, some future directions and recommendations are presented.
Time series forecasting of meteorological variables such as daily temperature has recently drawn considerable attention from researchers to address the limitations of traditional forecasting models. However, a middle-range (e.g., 5–20 days) forecasting is an extremely challenging task to get reliable forecasting results from a dynamical weather model. Nevertheless, it is challenging to develop and select an accurate time-series prediction model because it involves training various distinct models to find the best among them. In addition, selecting an optimum topology for the selected models is important too. The accurate forecasting of maximum temperature plays a vital role in human life as well as many sectors such as agriculture and industry. The increase in temperature will deteriorate the highland urban heat, especially in summer, and have a significant influence on people’s health. We applied meta-learning principles to optimize the deep learning network structure for hyperparameter optimization. In particular, the genetic algorithm (GA) for meta-learning was used to select the optimum architecture for the network used. The dataset was used to train and test three different models, namely the artificial neural network (ANN), recurrent neural network (RNN), and long short-term memory (LSTM). Our results demonstrate that the hybrid model of an LSTM network and GA outperforms other models for the long lead time forecasting. Specifically, LSTM forecasts have superiority over RNN and ANN for 15-day-ahead in summer with the root mean square error (RMSE) value of 2.719 (°C).
Weather forecasting, especially that of extreme climatic events, has gained considerable attention among researchers due to their impacts on natural ecosystems and human life. The applicability of artificial neural networks (ANNs) in non-linear process forecasting has significantly contributed to hydro-climatology. The efficiency of neural network functions depends on the network structure and parameters. This study proposed a new approach to forecasting a one-day-ahead maximum temperature time series for South Korea to discuss the relationship between network specifications and performance by employing various scenarios for the number of parameters and hidden layers in the ANN model. Specifically, a different number of trainable parameters (i.e., the total number of weights and bias) and distinctive numbers of hidden layers were compared for system-performance effects. If the parameter sizes were too large, the root mean square error (RMSE) would be generally increased, and the model’s ability was impaired. Besides, too many hidden layers would reduce the system prediction if the number of parameters was high. The number of parameters and hidden layers affected the performance of ANN models for time series forecasting competitively. The result showed that the five-hidden layer model with 49 parameters produced the smallest RMSE at most South Korean stations.
The Earth's climate has changed considerably over the past century due to natural processes and human activities, which has the ability to change extreme intensity and frequency. More severe climate change can trigger drastic effects with unexpected consequences. Therefore, climate extreme projection is important information required to evaluate the effect of future climate change on human beings and on the environment. Such information also enables to help all countries in the world to build long-term strategies to mitigate and adapt effectively to climate change. The process of climate change, especially the changing of temperature and rainfall, is the most significant problem in environmental sciences. Temperature-based forecasting is essential for agriculture, water resources, and human activities. The present study, therefore, focused on daily maximum forecasting. In order to predict the weather in an effective way, in this study, we have suggested a weather forecasting model using Artificial Neural Network (ANN). In ANN, there are an input layer, an output layer, and some hidden layers. The number of neurons per layer and the number of hidden layers determine the ability of the networks to produce accurate
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