BackgroundGene duplication has been identified as a key process driving functional change in many genomes. Several biological models exist for the evolution of a pair of duplicates after a duplication event, and it is believed that gene duplicates can evolve in different ways, according to one process, or a mix of processes. Subfunctionalization is one such process, under which the two duplicates can be preserved by dividing up the function of the original gene between them. Analysis of genomic data using subfunctionalization and related processes has thus far been relatively coarse-grained, with mathematical treatments usually focusing on the phenomenological features of gene duplicate evolution.ResultsHere, we develop and analyze a mathematical model using the mechanics of subfunctionalization and the assumption of Poisson rates of mutation. By making use of the results from the literature on the Phase-Type distribution, we are able to derive exact analytical results for the model.The main advantage of the mechanistic model is that it leads to testable predictions of the phenomenological behavior (instead of building this behavior into the model a priori), and allows for the estimation of biologically meaningful parameters. We fit the survival function implied by this model to real genome data (Homo sapiens, Mus musculus, Rattus norvegicus and Canis familiaris), and compare the fit against commonly used phenomenological survival functions. We estimate the number of regulatory regions, and rates of mutation (relative to silent site mutation) in the coding and regulatory regions.We find that for the four genomes tested the subfunctionalization model predicts that duplicates most-likely have just a few regulatory regions, and the rate of mutation in the coding region is around 5-10 times greater than the rate in the regulatory regions. This is the first model-based estimate of the number of regulatory regions in duplicates.ConclusionsStrong agreement between empirical results and the predictions of our model suggest that subfunctionalization provides a consistent explanation for the evolution of many gene duplicates.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12862-016-0848-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

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Background Recovering the historical patterns of selection acting on a protein coding sequence is a major goal of evolutionary biology. Mutation-selection models address this problem by explicitly modelling fixation rates as a function of site-specific amino acid fitness values.However, they are restricted in their utility for investigating directional evolution because they require prior knowledge of the locations of fitness changes in the lineages of a phylogeny. Results We apply a modified mutation-selection methodology that relaxes assumptions of equlibrium and time-reversibility. Our implementation allows us to identify branches where adaptive or compensatory shifts in the fitness landscape have taken place, signalled by a change in amino acid fitness profiles. Through simulation and analysis of an empirical data set of $$\beta $$ β -lactamase genes, we test our ability to recover the position of adaptive events within the tree and successfully reconstruct initial codon frequencies and fitness profile parameters generated under the non-stationary model. Conclusion We demonstrate successful detection of selective shifts and identification of the affected branch on partitions of 300 codons or more. We successfully reconstruct fitness parameters and initial codon frequencies in simulated data and demonstrate that failing to account for non-equilibrium evolution can increase the error in fitness profile estimation. We also demonstrate reconstruction of plausible shifts in amino acid fitnesses in the bacterial $$\beta $$ β -lactamase family and discuss some caveats for interpretation.

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