Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is a major cause of drug development failure and drug withdrawal from the market after approval. The identification of human risk factors associated with susceptibility to DILI is of paramount importance. Increasing evidence suggests that genetic variants may lead to inter-individual differences in drug response; however, individual single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) usually have limited power to predict human phenotypes such as DILI. In this study, we aim to identify appropriate statistical methods to investigate gene–gene and/or gene–environment interactions that impact DILI susceptibility. Three machine learning approaches, including Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS), Multifactor Dimensionality Reduction (MDR), and logistic regression, were used. The simulation study suggested that all three methods were robust and could identify the known SNP–SNP interaction when up to 4% of genotypes were randomly permutated. When applied to a real-life DILI chronicity dataset, both MARS and MDR, but not logistic regression, identified combined genetic variants having better associations with DILI chronicity in comparison to the use of individual SNPs. Furthermore, a simple decision tree model using the SNPs identified by MARS and MDR was developed to predict DILI chronicity, with fair performance. Our study suggests that machine learning approaches may help identify gene–gene interactions as potential risk factors for better assessing complicated diseases such as DILI chronicity.

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INTRODUCTION: Indeterminate acute liver failure (IND-ALF) is a rare clinical syndrome with a high mortality rate. Lacking a known etiology makes rapid evaluation and treatment difficult, with liver transplantation often considered as the only therapeutic option. Our aim was to identify genetic variants from whole exome sequencing data that might be associated with IND-ALF clinical outcomes. METHODS: Bioinformatics analysis was performed on whole exome sequencing data for 22 patients with IND-ALF. A 2-tier approach was used to identify significant single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with IND-ALF clinical outcomes. Tier 1 identified the SNPs with a higher relative risk in the IND-ALF population compared with those identified in control populations. Tier 2 determined the SNPs connected to transplant-free survival and associated with model for end-stage liver disease serum sodium and Acute Liver Failure Study Group prognostic scores. RESULTS: Thirty-one SNPs were found associated with a higher relative risk in the IND-ALF population compared with those in controls, of which 11 belong to the human leukocyte antigen (HLA) class II genes but none for the class I. Further analysis showed that 5 SNPs: rs796202376, rs139189937, and rs113473719 of HLA-DRB5; rs9272712 of HLA-DQA1; and rs747397929 of IDO1 were associated with a higher probability of IND-ALF transplant-free survival. Using 3 selected SNPs, a model for the polygenic risk score was developed to predict IND-ALF prognoses, which are comparable with those by model for end-stage liver disease serum sodium and Acute Liver Failure Study Group prognostic scores. DISCUSSION: Certain gene variants in HLA-DRB5, HLA-DQA1, and IDO1 were found associated with IND-ALF transplant-free survival. Once validated, these identified SNPs may help elucidate the mechanism of IND-ALF and assist in its diagnosis and management.