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BackgroundLittle is known about the global magnitude of mesothelioma. In particular, many developing countries, including some with extensive historical use of asbestos, do not report mesothelioma.ObjectivesWe estimated the global magnitude of mesothelioma accounting for reported and unreported cases.MethodsFor all countries with available data on mesothelioma frequency and asbestos use (n = 56), we calculated the 15-year cumulative number of mesotheliomas during 1994–2008 from data available for fewer years and assessed its relationship with levels of cumulative asbestos use during 1920–1970. We used this relationship to predict the number of unreported mesotheliomas in countries for which no information on mesothelioma is available but which have recorded asbestos use (n = 33).ResultsWithin the group of 56 countries with data on mesothelioma occurrence and asbestos use, the 15-year cumulative number of mesothelioma was approximately 174,300. There was a statistically significant positive linear relation between the log-transformed national cumulative mesothelioma numbers and the log-transformed cumulative asbestos use (adjusted R2 = 0.83, p < 0.0001). Extrapolated to the group of 33 countries without reported mesothelioma, a total of approximately 38,900 (95% confidence interval, 36,700–41,100) mesothelioma cases were estimated to have occurred in the 15-year period (1994–2008).ConclusionsWe estimate conservatively that, globally, one mesothelioma case has been overlooked for every four to five reported cases. Because our estimation is based on asbestos use until 1970, the many countries that increased asbestos use since then should anticipate a higher disease burden in the immediate decades ahead.

BackgroundIn response to the health risks posed by asbestos exposure, some countries have imposed strict regulations and adopted bans, whereas other countries have intervened less and continue to use varying quantities of asbestos.ObjectivesThis study was designed to assess, on a global scale, national experiences of recent mortality from pleural mesothelioma, historical trends in asbestos use, adoption of bans, and their possible interrelationships.MethodsFor 31 countries with available data, we analyzed recent pleural mesothelioma (International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision) mortality rates (MRs) using age-adjusted period MRs (deaths/million/year) from 1996 to 2005. We calculated annual percent changes (APCs) in age-adjusted MRs to characterize trends during the period. We characterized historical patterns of asbestos use by per capita asbestos use (kilograms per capita/year) and the status of national bans.ResultsPeriod MRs increased with statistical significance in five countries, with marginal significance in two countries, and were equivocal in 24 countries (five countries in Northern and Western Europe recorded negative APC values). Countries adopting asbestos bans reduced use rates about twice as fast as those not adopting bans. Turning points in use preceded bans. Change in asbestos use during 1970–1985 was a significant predictor of APC in mortality for pleural mesothelioma, with an adjusted R2 value of 0.47 (p < 0.0001).ConclusionsThe observed disparities in global mesothelioma trends likely relate to country-to-country disparities in asbestos use trends.

Diabetes is associated with a high prevalence of periodontal disease, but little is known about the effects of periodontal disease on incident diabetes. In total, 5848 non-diabetic individuals aged 30-59 yrs who completed a health examination were analyzed in this study. They were divided into three categories: no pathological pockets, moderate periodontitis, or severe periodontitis. Incident diabetes was defined as newly diagnosed cases with fasting plasma glucose > 125 mg/dL. Cox proportional hazards models estimated the effect of periodontitis on incident diabetes during a seven-year follow-up period. Moderate and severe periodontitis was significantly associated with an increased risk of diabetes in unadjusted analyses, but the magnitude of the association decreased after full adjustment [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.00, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) = 0.77-1.30 and HR = 1.28, 95% CI = 0.89-1.86, respectively]. Our findings do not indicate an apparent association between periodontitis and incident diabetes, although there was a tendency for increased risk.

The increase of proportion of return to work after stroke was nonlinear, and this trend was referable to the social security systems available to the patients included in this study. Normal muscle strength and absence of apraxia were significant predictors of return to work after stroke. White-collar occupation showed a tendency to promote return to work.