Floods are a complex phenomenon that are difficult to predict because of their non-linear and dynamic nature. Therefore, flood prediction has been a key research topic in the field of hydrology. Various researchers have approached this problem using different techniques ranging from physical models to image processing, but the accuracy and time steps are not sufficient for all applications. This study explores deep learning techniques for predicting gauge height and evaluating the associated uncertainty. Gauge height data for the Meramec River in Valley Park, Missouri was used to develop and validate the model. It was found that the deep learning model was more accurate than the physical and statistical models currently in use while providing information in 15 minute increments rather than six hour increments. It was also found that the use of data sub-selection for regularization in deep learning is preferred to dropout. These results make it possible to provide more accurate and timely flood prediction for a wide variety of applications, including transportation systems.
Purpose This research developed a model to understand and predict housing market dynamics and evaluate the significance of house permits data in the model’s forecasting capability. Design/methodology/approach The research uses a multilevel algorithm consisting of a machine-learning regression model to predict the independent variables and another regressor to predict the dependent variable using the forecasted independent variables. Findings The research establishes a statistically significant relationship between housing permits and house prices. The novel approach discussed in this paper has significantly higher prediction capabilities than a traditional regression model in forecasting monthly average prices (R-squared value: 0.5993), house price index prices (R-squared value: 0.99) and house sales prices (R-squared value: 0.7839). Research limitations/implications The impact of supply, demand and socioeconomic factors will differ in various regions. The forecasting capability and significance of the independent variables can vary, but the methodology can still be applicable when provided with the considered variables in the model. Practical implications The resulting model is helpful in the decision-making process for investments, house purchases and construction as the housing demand increases across various cities. The methodology can benefit multiple players, including the government, real estate investors, homebuyers and construction companies. Originality/value Existing algorithms and models do not consider the number of new house constructions, monthly sales and inventory in the real estate market, especially in the United States. This research aims to address these shortcomings using current socioeconomic indicators, permits, monthly real estate data and population information to predict house prices and inventory.
Asphyxiation associated with metabolic acidosis is one of the common causes of fetal deaths. The paper aims to develop a feature extraction and prediction algorithm capable of identifying most of the features in the SISPORTO software package and late and variable decelerations. The resulting features were used for classification based on umbilical cord pH data. The algorithms developed here were used to predict cord pH levels. The prediction system assists the obstetricians in assessing the state of the fetus better than the category methods, as only about 30% of the patients in the pathological category suffer from acidosis, while the majority of acidotic babies were in the suspect category, which is considered lower risk. By predicting the direct indicator of acidosis, umbilical cord pH, this work demonstrates a methodology, which uses fetal heart rate and uterine activity, to identify acidosis. This paper introduces a forecasting model based on deep learning to predict heart rate and uterine contractions, integrated with the classification algorithm, resulting in a robust tool for predictive fetal monitoring. The hybrid algorithm resulted in a model capable of providing future conditions of the fetus, which obstetricians can use for diagnosis and planning interventions. The ensemble classification algorithm had a test accuracy of 85% (n = 24) in predicting fetal acidosis on the features extracted from the cardiotocography data. When integrated with the classification model, the results from the prediction model (long short-term memory network) can effectively identify fetal acidosis 2 or 4 min in the future.
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