Smart grids have brought new possibilities in power grid operations for control and monitoring. For this purpose, state estimation is considered as one of the effective techniques in the monitoring and analysis of smart grids. State estimation uses a processing algorithm based on data from smart meters. The major challenge for state estimation is to take into account this large volume of measurement data. In this article, a novel smart distribution network state estimation algorithm has been proposed. The proposed method is a combined high-gain state estimation algorithm named adaptive extended Kalman filter (AEKF) using extended Kalman filter (EKF) and unscented Kalman filter (UKF) in order to achieve better intelligent utility grid state estimation accuracy. The performance index and the error are indicators used to evaluate the accuracy of the estimation models in this article. An IEEE 37-node test network is used to implement the state estimation models. The state variables considered in this article are the voltage module at the measurement nodes. The results obtained show that the proposed hybrid algorithm has better performance compared to single state estimation methods such as the extended Kalman filter, the unscented Kalman filter, and the weighted least squares (WLS) method.
This paper develops a novel hybrid model for forecasting electrical consumption based on several deep learning and optimization models such as Support Vector Regression (SVR), Firefly Algorithm (FA) and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The process is focused on the minimization of error and risk. FA is used to optimize the forecasting performance using its higher optimization ability. The proposed SVR-FA-ANFIS model is based on historical data from smart meters in order to estimate and improve the accuracy of forecasting electrical consumption. Several accuracy coefficients such as Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) are used to characterize the superior performance of the proposed model. The consumption data in Cameroon over the 24-year period are used to evaluate the performance of the models. The simulation results show that the proposed method outperforms other models such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Random Forest (RF).
The exponential growth of electrical demand and the integration of renewable energy sources (RES) brought new challenges in the traditional grid about energy quality. The transition from traditional grid to smart grid is the best solution which provides necessary tools and information and communication technologies (ICT) for service enhancement. In this study, variation of energy demand and some factors of atmospheric change are considered to forecast production of photovoltaic energy that can be adapted for evolution of consumption in smart grid. The contribution of this study concerns a novel optimized hybrid intelligent model made of the artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM), and particle swarm optimization (PSO) implemented for long term photovoltaic (PV) power generation forecasting based on real data of consumption and climate factors of the city of Douala in Cameroon. The accuracy of this model is evaluated using the coefficients such as the mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean absolute error (MAE), and regression coefficient (R). Using this novel hybrid technique, the MSE, RMSE, MAPE, MAE, and R are 14.9721, 3.8693, 3.32%, 0.867, and 0.9984, respectively. These obtained results show that the novel hybrid model outperforms other models in the literature and can be helpful for future renewable energy requirements. However, the convergence speed of the proposed approach can be affected due to the random variability of available data.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.