The central Inpatient Register of the former German Democratic Republic was used to study the population-based epidemiology of hip fractures among 16.5 million East Germans. Incidence rates for hospital discharges for proximal femoral fractures for the age group 60 years and over were calculated for the years 1971 to 1989, the year before unification. Incidence rates for 1989 are similar to figures reported from the UK and The Netherlands, but lower than Scandinavian rates. A decrease in the admission rate was noted from 1971 to 1974 of 4.5% each year on average, and an increase from 1974 onwards of 4.4% on average. This change was observed to a different extent in all age groups. The female:male ratio of the standardized discharge incidence was stable at 2.3:1 and the female:male ratio of manifest cases increases from 4.1:1 in 1971 to 5.1:1 in 1989. An exponential increase in the incidence rates was observed with age. This apparent rate overestimated both the rate for true incident cases (by about 25-30%, if adjustments are made for readmissions and transfers) and their trend. Adjusted estimates for incident fractures show an increase of 2% annually. Cohort effects due to changed selective forces appear to be one reasonable causal explanation.
Study objective was to develop a valid epidemiological method for the estimation of osteoporotic fracture risk, using administrative databases and accounting for variable baseline risks of injury. Design is the secondary analysis of inpatient and outpatient utilization data. A baseline injury risk was estimated by the incidence of primary utilization of medical services for soft tissue injuries (ICD-9 diagnostic codes 910-929), and the risk profile was compared after normalization with the overall primary utilization rate for fractures (ICD-9 diagnostic codes 800-829). The setting is a county with approximately 100,000 inhabitants in the former East Germany. Participants were all inhabitants of the county who had a physician contact (inpatient or outpatient) during 1987-1988, as well as hospital inpatients for all of Germany in 1989. The number of fractures increased with age, especially in women, when compared to the number of fractures expected from the incidence of soft tissue injury. Similar patterns were identified in hospitalization data from East and West Germany. Estimating the prevalence of osteoporosis directly from certain "osteoporotic" fracture types associated with higher age is potentially biased, since it neglects the underlying risk of injury. Our model distinguished the osteoporotic fracture risk as the excess risk over an expected injury-related fracture risk for a given age and sex, and may allow a more valid quantification of osteoporotic fractures in different populations.
The revised and pseudonymized data set of the hospital discharge diagnoses of East Germany (German Democratic Republic, GDR) for 1989 was analyzed regarding the in-hospital case fatality of closed hip fractures (ICD-9 820.0, 820.2, 820.8). The case fatality of 20.2% during an average hospital stay of 60 days including between-ward and between-hospital transfers is high when compared to international data and data for West Germany. Apart from the expected influence of age, fatality was reduced for cervical (intracapsular) fractures, female sex, and for a location of the treating hospital within East Berlin. This reduction of the case fatality within East Berlin by nearly two thirds after adjustment for age, sex, and type of fracture compared to other regions is most likely explained by better medical treatment facitilities within East Berlin, the former capital of the GDR. The regional disparities that were observed during our model analysis give a hint towards the influence that medical care can have on the fatality associated with this on a population level relevant disease.
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