With the deployment of advanced metering infrastructure (AMI), an avalanche of new energy-use information became available. Better understanding of the actual power consumption patterns of customers is critical for improving load forecasting and efficient deployment of smart grid technologies to enhance operation, energy management, and planning of electric power systems. Unlike traditional aggregated system-level load forecasting, the AMI data introduces a fresh perspective to the way load forecasting is performed, ranging from very shortterm load forecasting to long-term load forecasting at the system level, regional level, feeder level, or even down to the consumer level. This paper addresses the efforts involved in improving the system level intraday load forecasting by applying clustering to identify groups of customers with similar load consumption patterns from smart meters prior to performing load forecasting.Index Terms-Advanced metering infrastructure (AMI), k-means clustering, load forecasting, load patterns, load profiles, neural network-based load forecasting, smart meters.
Based on fuzzy mathematics theory, this paper proposes a fuzzy multi-objective optimization model with related constraints to minimize the total economic cost and network loss of microgrid. Uncontrollable microsources are considered as negative load, and stochastic net load scenarios are generated for taking the uncertainty of their output power and load into account. Cooperating with storage devices of the optimal capacity controllable microsources are treated as variables in the optimization process with the consideration of their start and stop strategy. Chaos optimization algorithm is introduced into binary particle swarm optimization (BPSO) to propose chaotic BPSO (CBPSO). Search capability of BPSO is improved via the chaotic search approach of chaos optimization algorithm. Tests of four benchmark functions show that the proposed CBPSO has better convergence performance than BPSO. Simulation results validate the correctness of the proposed model and the effectiveness of CBPSO.
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