The potential links between ice water path (IWP), radiation, circulation, sea surface temperature (SST), and precipitation over the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans resulting from the falling ice radiative effects (FIREs) are examined from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) and phase 6 (CMIP6) historical simulations. The latter is divided into two subsets with (SON6) and without FIREs (NOS6) in CMIP6. Improvement in nonfalling cloud ice (~20 g m−2) is noticeable over convective regions in CMIP6 relative to CMIP5. The inclusion of FIREs in SON6 subset may contribute to reduce biases of overestimated outgoing longwave radiation and downward surface shortwave and underestimated reflected shortwave at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) by magnitudes of ~8 W m−2 over convective regions against CERES, compared to NOS6 subset. The reduced biases in radiative fluxes in convective regions stabilize the atmosphere and lead to circulation, SST, cloud, and precipitation changes over the trade wind regions, as seen from improved radiative fluxes (~15 W m−2), surface wind stress biases, SST (~0.8 K), and precipitation (1 mm day−1) biases. The significant improvement from NOS6 to SON6 leads to improved multimodel means for CMIP6 relative to CMIP5 for radiation fields over the trade wind regions but the degradation over convective zones is attributed to NOS6 subset. The results suggest that other sources of uncertainty and deficiencies in climate models may play significant roles for reducing discrepancies although FIREs, via radiation‐circulation coupling, may be one of the factors that help to reduce regional biases.
An accurate representation of the land surface temperature (LST) climatology of the coupled land‐atmosphere system has strong implications for the reliability of projected land surface processes and their variability inferred by the global climate models (GCMs) contributed to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change CMIP5. We have identified a substantial underestimation of the total ice water path and biases of surface radiation budget commonly seen in the CMIP models which are highly correlated to the biases of LST over land. One of the potential causes of the CMIP model biases is the missing representation of large frozen precipitating hydrometeors and their radiative effects (i.e., snow) in all CMIP3 and most CMIP5 models. We examine the impacts of snow on the radiation, all‐sky and clear‐sky LST, and air‐land heat fluxes to explore the implications to the common biases in CMIP models by performing sensitivity experiments with and without snow radiation effects using the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Earth System Model version 1. It is found that an exclusion of the snow radiative effects the CESM1 generates the LST biases (up to 2–3 K) in the midlatitude and high latitude, in particular, in December, January, and February (DJF). All‐sky and clear‐sky LST in model simulations are found to be too cold and are mainly due to underestimated downward surface (longwave) LW radiation in DJF, which is consistent with those in CMIP models. The correlation between the changes of the LST and downward surface LW radiation is very high both in summer and winter seasons.
Most of the global climate models (GCMs) in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, phase 5 do not include precipitating ice (aka falling snow) in their radiation calculations. We examine the importance of the radiative effects of precipitating ice on simulated surface wind stress and sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in terms of seasonal variation and in the evolution of central Pacific El Niño (CP‐El Niño) events. Using controlled simulations with the CESM1 model, we show that the exclusion of precipitating ice radiative effects generates a persistent excessive upper‐level radiative cooling and an increasingly unstable atmosphere over convective regions such as the western Pacific and tropical convergence zones. The invigorated convection leads to persistent anomalous low‐level outflows which weaken the easterly trade winds, reducing upper‐ocean mixing and leading to a positive SST bias in the model mean state. In CP‐El Niño events, this means that outflow from the modeled convection in the central Pacific reduces winds to the east, allowing unrealistic eastward propagation of warm SST anomalies following the peak in CP‐El Niño activity. Including the radiative effects of precipitating ice reduces these model biases and improves the simulated life cycle of the CP‐El Niño. Improved simulations of present‐day tropical seasonal variations and CP‐El Niño events would increase the confidence in simulating their future behavior.
Southern Ocean sea-ice cover exerts critical control on local albedo and Antarctic precipitation, but simulated Antarctic sea-ice concentration commonly disagrees with observations. Here we show that the radiative effects of precipitating ice (falling snow) contribute substantially to this discrepancy. Many models exclude these radiative effects, so they underestimate both shortwave albedo and downward longwave radiation. Using two simulations with the climate model CESM1, we show that including falling-snow radiative effects improves the simulations relative to cloud properties from CloudSat-CALIPSO, radiation from CERES-EBAF and sea-ice concentration from passive microwave sensors. From 50-70°S, the simulated sea-ice-area bias is reduced by 2.12 Â 10 6 km 2 (55%) in winter and by 1.17 Â 10 6 km 2 (39%) in summer, mainly because increased wintertime longwave heating restricts sea-ice growth and so reduces summer albedo. Improved Antarctic sea-ice simulations will increase confidence in projected Antarctic sea level contributions and changes in global warming driven by long-term changes in Southern Ocean feedbacks.
A common deficiency in coupled atmosphere‐ocean models is the lack of stratocumulus clouds near the west coasts of continents and shallow cumulus clouds over the trade wind regions. In this study, we examine changes of large‐scale trade wind environment associated with hydrometeors‐radiation‐circulation interactions, focusing over the south‐central Pacific, by carrying out experiments with falling ice (snow) radiative effects (FIREs) on or off using the CESM1‐CAM5 coupled model. Compared to observations/reanalysis data and an experiment with FIREs on (SON), an experiment with FIREs off (NOS) tends to have too‐high (0.3–0.9 K) sea surface temperature (SST) over the eastern half of the Pacific, and weaker surface wind stress over the northeast side but stronger stress over the southwest side of the study domain. The difference between NOS and SON shows lower‐tropospheric wind fields with a cyclonic‐like wind pattern, which is similar to surface wind stress, accompanied with weaker subsidence over the northeast side. The cyclonic‐like wind pattern causes stronger moisture convergence, accompanied with horizontal warm and moist advections, and stronger effective ascending motion over the northeast side of the study domain, building large‐scale environmental conditions to facilitate middle‐ and high‐clouds instead of shallow cumulus clouds in nature. This large‐scale environment in conjunction with the higher SSTs may be also responsible for the lack of the stratocumulus clouds near the coast of America. Remaining biases in SON such as the double intertropical convergence zone and parameterization deficiencies may also prevent a more realistic simulation of trade wind clouds and their associated large‐scale environments.
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