IBIS (Integrated Biosphere Simulator) model is an ecosystem process model, which represents the research direction of a global carbon cycle simulation. Based on the existing research achievements, the regional ecological carbon sink potential is simulated from point to surface with a long time serie of meteorological data (1954-2010), data on different ecosystem vegetation types, soil texture data, terrain data and remote sensing data. The results are listed as follows: there is no significant variation of potential carbon sink of Shenzhen vegetation over the past 30 years, carbon sequestration caapcity ranges within 43.52-55.82×104Mg C/a, and the potential carbon sink intensity value within 0-624 C/m2/a. Precipitation is a main factor which influnces the ecosystem carbon sink intensity in Shenzhen City. The carbon sink intensity of ecosystem is increased with more annual precipitation.
The carbon emission caused by land use change is a human carbon source only second to fossil fuel combustion, the urbanization process in China is extremely intensified, which carbon emissions effect caused by land use change becomes a key factor to influence China's target of carbon emission reduction. Taken Shenzhen city as a typical case, this study utilizes unit root and co-integration test method to research existence of carbon emissions EKC (Environmental Kuznets Curve) in Shenzhen on the basis of the carbon emissions EKC theory and land-use carbon emissions data of 1979-2010 years, in combination with the existing research foundation. The result proves that, the carbon emission EKC per capita exists in Shenzhen, and the inflection point time of carbon emissions per capita is also calculated for Shenzhen city, which provides new research ideas and scientific guidance for urban carbon emission reduction in China.
The effects of terrestrial carbon cycle caused by Land use change on are obvious. Urbanization is an important reason of land use change. Based on the soil and plant data that field sampled, five remote sensing data of 1979, 1989, 1995, 2000 and 2003, the effects on ecosystem organic carbon pool from1979 to 2003 caused by land use change in Shenzhen city are analyzed. The land use changes are mainly occurred between the following 8 land types, farmland, wood land, grass land and construction land. The results show that form 1979 to 2003 carbon emissions caused by land use change in Shenzhen City totally reduced by 337.24 × 104Mg C (1Mg C = 1 × 106g C). The average annual carbon emissions arrive up to 24.09 × 104Mg C. Among them, the emissions caused by the reductions of farmland and forest area are respectively 252.26 × 104Mg C and 111.73 × 104Mg C. The organic carbon increment caused by garden land increase is 47.37 × 104Mg C. The results show that Urbanization process totally is a carbon sink process. The study is valuable for assessing the relations between carbon effects and land development and ecological restoration planning in the process of rapid urbanization.
In this paper, 2000-2010 NDVI data of Liaohe Basin is obtained with the RS technology; the distribution map of precipitation and air temperature in Liaohe Basin is generated by the GIS technology, and then the temporal and spatial vegetation variation of Liaohe Basin and its relation with climate changes have been studied by means of raster data spatial analysis, correlation analysis and multiple regression analysis, so as to provide a scientific basis for ecological environment protection, planning and development of Liaohe Basin. It is shown from results that: 1) From 2000 to 2010, the vegetation coverage increased significantly; which presents a gradual decrease from east to west on the spatial distribution; 2) For the temporal distribution, the precipitation presents a fluctuant upward trend; while temperature is fluctuated significantly with a slight decrease. For the spatial distribution, precipitation decreased gradually from the east to west, while temperature rises from the northeast to southwest; and 3) Vegetation coverage of Liaohe Basin is positively related with precipitation and temperature in the temporal and spatial distribution, but not significantly, it is indicated that, except for the meteorological factors, the artificial impact and other factors, such as land use, played an important role to vegetation variation of Liaohe Basin in the recent 10 years. However in terms of two influence factors of precipitation and temperature, the former has significantly contributed to NDVI change of Liaohe Basin.
Land-use and land-cover change (LUCC) is an important factor of global change. In this study, the LUCC of Liaoning Coastal Economic Zone, the typical area of urbanization in China, was simulated by applying CLUE-S model under the historical trend scenario and policy scenario two scenarios. Transfer matrix and landscape index were also applied to analyze the change of landscape pattern. The results show that, from 1988 to 2007, the area of construction land was considerably increased. However, the area of forest, water and farmland were greatly decreased. The results were mainly caused by the rapid growth of economic, population and accelerated urbanization. These changes have caused landscape fragmentation in this study area. In general, the trends of landscape changes under two scenarios were unsustainable in this area.
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