In the presence of the increasing penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) and conflict of independent optimization objectives among each electric vehicle aggregator (EVA), real-time optimal scheduling (RTOS) of large-scale EVs based on dynamic non-cooperative game approach is proposed for optimal decision makings in a dynamic pricing market. First, real-time optimal scheduling framework is designed to describe the flow of energy and information. Then, equivalent model of large-scale EVs is formulated to address "curse of dimensionality" caused by a large number of decision variables. Then, the potential game theory is used to study the existence and uniqueness of the Nash equilibrium (NE) solution. Finally, a distributed approach based on alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) is designed to achieve the equilibrium. Case studies demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves peak load shifting and reduces cost of EVAs significantly. Furthermore, the proposed method obtains higher-quality solution compared with other methods and is more applicable for real-time optimal scheduling of large-scale EVs due to its high computation efficiency and privacy protection. INDEX TERMS Large-scale electric vehicles; real-time optimal scheduling; dynamic non-cooperative game; distributed optimization.
With the dramatic increase of energy demand and the continuous increase of power system operation pressure, higher requirements are put forward for the development of power grid planning and optimization operation. It is important for the refinement of distribution network planning to deeply extract the characteristics of user load. First, the process of load characteristic analysis method from the user level to the industry level is proposed, which achieves the division of electricity consumption patterns of various industries, thus building a panoramic portrait of industry electricity consumption behavior. Then, by expanding the information filled in by traditional customers, the feature vector of each user is extracted, and the users' industry electricity consumption patterns are used as the label. Therefore, a method for identifying the electricity consumption pattern of the customer based on the BB-stacking model fusion framework is proposed, which yields the preliminary forecast results of customer load based on the actual load accounting results of the customers. Finally, comparative simulations with different methods verify the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm, which can provide prominent guidance for the actual distribution network planning work.
Medium-and long-term load forecasting in the distribution network has important guiding significance for overload warning of distribution transformer, transformation of distribution network and other scenarios. However, there are many constraints in the forecasting process. For example, there are many predict objects, the data sample size of a single predict object is small, and the long term load trend is not obvious. The forecasting method based on neural network is difficult to model due to lack of data, and the forecasting method based on time sequence law commonly used in engineering is highly subjective, which is not effective. Aiming at the above problems, this paper takes distribution transformer as the research object and proposes a medium-and long-term load forecasting method for group objects based on Image Representation Learning (IRL). Firstly, the data of distribution transformer is preprocessed in order to restore the load variation in natural state. And then, the load forecasting process is decoupled into two parts: the load trend forecasting of the next year and numerical forecasting of the load change rate. Secondly, the load images covering annual and inter-annual data change information are constructed. Meanwhile, an Image Representation Learning forecasting model based on convolutional neural network, which will use to predict the load development trend, is obtained by using load images for training; And according to the data shape, the group classification of the data in different periods are carried out to train the corresponding group objects forecasting model of each group. Based on the forecasting data and the load trend forecasting result, the group forecasting model corresponding to the forecasting data can be selected to realize the numerical forecasting of load change rate. Due to the large number of predict objects, this paper introduces the evaluation index of group forecasting to measure the forecasting effect of different methods. Finally, the experimental results show that, compared with the existing distribution transformer forecasting methods, the method proposed in this paper has a better overall forecasting effect, and provides a new idea and solution for the medium-and long-term intelligent load forecasting of the distribution network.
For low-voltage distribution networks (LVDNs), accurate models depicting network and phase connectivity are crucial to the analysis, planning, and operation of these networks. However, phase connectivity data in the LVDN are usually incorrect or missing. Wrong or incomplete phase information collected could lead to unbalanced operation of three-phase distribution systems and increased power loss. Based on the advanced measurement infrastructure (AMI) in the development of smart grids, in this study, a novel data-driven phase identification algorithm is proposed. Firstly, the method involves extracting features from voltage–time matrices using a non-linear dimension reduction algorithm. Secondly, the density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) algorithm is used to divide customers into clusters with arbitrary shape. Finally, the algorithms were tested with the IEEE European Low Voltage Test Feeder of the IEEE PES AMPS DSAS Test Feeder working group. The results showed an accuracy of over 90% for the method.
In order to improve the work efficiency of load characteristic analysis and realize lean management, scientific prediction, and reasonable planning of the distribution networks, this paper develops a multidimensional intelligent distribution network load analysis and prediction management system based on the fusion of multidimensional data for the application of multidimensional big data in the smart distribution network. First, the framework of the software system is designed, and the functional modules for multidimensional load characteristic analysis are designed. Then, the method of multidimensional user load characterization is introduced; furthermore, the application functions and the design process of some important function modules of the software system are introduced. Finally, an application example of the multidimensional user load characterization system is presented. Overall, the developed system has the features of interoperability of data links between functional modules, information support between different functions, and modular design concept, which can meet the daily application requirements of power grid enterprises and can respond quickly to the issued calculation requirements.
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