In Lake Wobegone we believe in salting money away, not only as an investment but also to remove it as a temptation. Garrison Keillor' Some experts have called for easing penalties on early withdrawals from savings plans, believing people will invest more if they know they can get their money if they need it. But most Americans appear wary of such changes, fearful of the temptation to raid their own nest eggs. Sixty percent of Americans say it is better to keep, rather than loosen, legal restrictions on retirement plans so that people don't use the money for other things. Only 36 percent prefer to make it easier for people to tap such savings before their retirement. Public Agenda2 We thank George Akerlof, Christopher Carroll, Eric Engen, William Gale, Robert Hall, and James Poterba for extremely helpful conversations and advice. We are also grateful for the valuable input of Robert Barro,
This paper uses household data to provide direct estimates of intergenerational transfers as a source of wealth. The authors distinguish between intended transfers (for example, gifts to other households) and possibly unintended transfers (bequests) and estimate that intended transfers account for at least 20 percent of net worth. Thus, a significant portion of the U.S. wealth cannot be explained by the life-cycle model, even when the model is augmented to allow for bequests. Estimated bequests can account for an additional 31 percent of net worth. The authors also show that transfers among living people are about half as large as bequests.
During and after the "Great Recession" that began in December 2007, the U.S. federal government enacted several rounds of activist fiscal policy. In this paper, we review the recent evolution of thinking and evidence regarding the effectiveness of activist fiscal policy. Although fiscal interventions aimed at stimulating and stabilizing the economy have returned to common use, their efficacy remains controversial. We review the debate about the traditional types of fiscal policy interventions, such as broad-based tax cuts and spending increases, as well as more targeted policies. While there have been improvements in estimates of the effects of broad-based policies, much of what has been learned recently concerns how such multipliers might vary with respect to economic conditions, such as the credit market disruptions and very low interest rates that were central features of the Great Recession. The eclectic and innovative interventions by the Federal Reserve and other central banks during this period highlight the imprecise divisions between monetary and fiscal policy and the many channels through which fiscal policies can be implemented.
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