is associate professor of educational administration, Iowa State University, Ames. Research variables can predict how effective principals will be at problem solving and collaborative decision making. This writer looks at those variables and offers suggestions for their use.I t is estimated that as many as 70 percent of today's school administrators will retire in the next 10 years. Thus, record numbers of job opportunities will become available for aspiring principals. The challenge of finding and selecting people with skills in shared and informed decision making to fill these slots is great.Candidates for principalships will face more stringent selection procedures and standards than their predecessors, especially with pressures for principals to have greater collaborative decision-making and problem-solving skills. Fortunately, in the last several years extensive research has been done about the nature of administrative behaviors, and the findings give insight into the factors that can predict success or failure.A broad, well-defined picture of the proficient principal can be synthesized from the recent research. The connection of
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