In this paper an axiomatic development of multistate systems is presented. Three types of coherence based on the strength of the relevancy axiom are studied. The strongest of these has been investigated previously by El-Neweihi, Proschan, and Sethuraman [3]. One of the weaker types of coherence permits wider applicability to real life situations without sacrificing any of the mathematical results obtained by El-Neweihi, Proschan, and Sethuraman. The concept of system performance is formalized through expected utility and the effect of component improvement on system performance is studied using a generalization of Birnbaum's reliability importance.
In this paper an axiomatic development of multistate systems is presented. Three types of coherence based on the strength of the relevancy axiom are studied. The strongest of these has been investigated previously by El-Neweihi, Proschan, and Sethuraman [3]. One of the weaker types of coherence permits wider applicability to real life situations without sacrificing any of the mathematical results obtained by El-Neweihi, Proschan, and Sethuraman. The concept of system performance is formalized through expected utility and the effect of component improvement on system performance is studied using a generalization of Birnbaum's reliability importance.
This paper investigates the long-term behavior of the k-step transition probability matrix for a nonstationary discrete time Markov chain in the context of modeling transitions from intact cognition to dementia with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and global impairment (GI) as intervening cognitive states. The authors derive formulas for the following absorption statistics: (1) the relative risk of absorption between competing absorbing states, and (2) the mean and variance of the number of visits among the transient states before absorption. Since absorption is not guaranteed, sufficient conditions are discussed to ensure that the substochastic matrix associated with transitions among transient states converges to zero in limit. Results are illustrated with an application to the Nun Study, a cohort of 678 participants, 75 to 107 years of age, followed longitudinally with up to ten cognitive assessments over a fifteen-year period.
Structure functions relate the level of operations of a system as a function of the level of the operation of its components. In this paper structure functions are studied which have an intuitive property, called L-superadditive (L-subadditive). Such functions describe whether a system is more series-like or more parallel-like. L-superadditive functions are also known under the names supermodular, quasi-monotone and superadditive and have been studied by many authors. Basic properties of both discrete and continuous (i.e., taking a continuum of values) L-superadditive structure functions are studied. For binary structure functions of binary values, El-Neweihi (1980) showed that L-superadditive structure functions must be series. This continues to hold for binary-valued structure functions even if the component values are continuous (see Proposition 3.1). In the case of non-binary-valued structure functions this is no longer the case. We consider structure functions taking discrete values and obtain results in various cases. A conjecture concerning the general case is made.
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