Ethiopia's coffee export earning percentage share in the total export has been rapidly waning over the last decades while it is the first commodity in currency grossing of the country. Since, this study analyses the determinant factors of Ethiopia's coffee exports (ECE) performance, in the dimension of export sales, via a more realistic model application, dynamic panel gravity model. It commences with the disintegration of the determinant into supply-and demand-side factors. It used short panel data that comprise 71 countries of consistent Ethiopia's coffee importers for the period of 11 years from 2005 to 2015. The panel unit root test of Harris-Tzavalis was made for each variable and applied the first difference transformation for the variables that had a unit root. The system model of a linear dynamic panel gravity model was specified and estimated with two-step general method moment estimation approach. The model results suggested that lagged ECE performance, real gross domestic product (GDP) of importing countries, Ethiopian population, Ethiopian real GDP, openness to trade of importing countries, Ethiopian institutional quality, and weighted distance were found to be the determinant factors of Ethiopia's coffee exports performance. The study also implied policies that would promote institutional quality or permits favorable market environments, supply capacity, trade liberalization, and destination with relatively cheaper transportation costs in order to progress Ethiopia's coffee exports performance.
Background Birth weight is a significant determinant of the likelihood of survival of an infant. Babies born at low birth weight are 25 times more likely to die than at normal birth weight. Low birth weight (LBW) affects one out of every seven newborns, accounting for about 14.6 percent of the babies born worldwide. Moreover, the prevalence of LBW varies substantially by region, with 7.2 per cent in the developed regions and 13.7 per cent in Africa, respectively. Ethiopia has a large burden of LBW, around half of Africa. These newborns were more likely to die within the first month of birth or to have long-term implications. These are stunted growth, low IQ, overweight or obesity, developing heart disease, diabetes, and early death. Therefore, the ability to predict the LBW is the better preventive measure and indicator of infant health risks. Method This study implemented predictive LBW models based on the data obtained from the Ethiopia Demographic and Health Survey 2016. This study was employed to compare and identify the best-suited classifier for predictive classification among Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Naive Bayes, K-Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine, Gradient Boosting, and Extreme Gradient Boosting. Results Data preprocessing is conducted, including data cleaning. The Normal and LBW are the binary target category in this study. The study reveals that RF was the best classifier and predicts LBW with 91.60 percent accuracy, 91.60 percent Recall, 96.80 percent ROC-AUC, 91.60 percent F1 Score, 1.05 percent Hamming loss, and 81.86 percent Jaccard score. Conclusion The RF predicted the occurrence of LBW more accurately and effectively than other classifiers in Ethiopia Demographic Health Survey. Gender of the child, marriage to birth interval, mother’s occupation and mother’s age were Ethiopia’s top four critical predictors of low birth weight in Ethiopia.
IJEPEE is at the forefront of analysing the economic development of emerging economies in the global context, fostering discussion on research with significant, long-term impact. It explores the causal factors, potential and limits of economic policy in Eastern Europe, Eurasia, Africa, Asia, Latin America and the Middle East, projecting possible economic developments in the light of growing opportunities. Booming markets, massive potential for local consumer markets and abundant low-cost labour make emerging economies key players in international trade and business. Contents IJEPEE publishes original papers, review papers, technical reports, case studies, conference reports, and book reviews. The journal will regularly publish special issues.
Background: The World Health Organization has endorsed a community-based health insurance scheme (CBHIS) as a shared financing plan to improve access to health services and ensure universal coverage of the healthcare delivery system. Such a contributory scheme is the most likely option to provide health insurance coverage when governments cannot offer direct health care support. Despite improvements in access to current healthcare services, Ethiopia’s healthcare delivery remained low, owing to the country’s underdeveloped healthcare finance system. As a result, the present study assessed CBHIS coverage and its predictors in Ethiopia at the individual and community level.
Background The World Health Organization has endorsed a community-based health insurance scheme (CBHIS) as a shared financing plan to improve access to health services and ensure universal coverage of the healthcare delivery system. Such a contributory scheme is the most likely option to provide health insurance coverage when governments cannot offer direct health care support. Despite improvements in access to current healthcare services, Ethiopia’s healthcare delivery remained low, owing to the country’s underdeveloped healthcare finance system. As a result, the present study assessed CBHIS coverage and its predictors in Ethiopia at the individual and community level. Methods The availability of CBHIS was checked via a criterion: at least one of the cluster respondents had to be enrolled in CBHIS. This study was based on secondary data from the Ethiopia Mini Demography and Health Survey (EMDHS) 2019 and included 7724 respondents. The study population was described using percentage and frequency. Four multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression modelling stages were performed to control for variations due to heterogeneity across clusters, and determinant predictors of CBHIS enrollment were outplayed. Results The prevalence of CBHIS enrollment in Ethiopia was 33.13%. Rural residents were 3.218 times (AOR = 3.218; 95% CI: 1.521, 6.809), male household heads were 1.574 times (AOR = 1.574, 95% CI: 1.105, 2.241), getting funds from the safety net program were times 2.062 (AOR = 2.062, 95% CI: 1.297, 3.279), attending the primary educational level was 1.686 times (AOR = 1.686, 95% CI: 1.007, 2.821), bank accounts were 1.373 times (AOR = 1.373, 95% CI: 1.052, 1.792), and wealth index was 1.356 times (AOR = 1.356, 95% CI: 1.001, 1.838) more likely associated with CBHIS coverage, whereas the regions, the other religions, and women aged 20–24 had lower odds of CBHIS coverage. Conclusion In Ethiopia, regional healthcare expenditure per capital, religious affiliation, women age range, residents, sex of household head, funds from the safety net program, formal educational level, and having bank accounts were associated with community-based health insurance scheme coverage.
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