The COVID-19 pandemic is a global threat presenting health, economic, and social challenges that continue to escalate. Metapopulation epidemic modeling studies in the susceptible–exposed–infectious–removed (SEIR) style have played important roles in informing public health policy making to mitigate the spread of COVID-19. These models typically rely on a key assumption on the homogeneity of the population. This assumption certainly cannot be expected to hold true in real situations; various geographic, socioeconomic, and cultural environments affect the behaviors that drive the spread of COVID-19 in different communities. What’s more, variation of intracounty environments creates spatial heterogeneity of transmission in different regions. To address this issue, we develop a human mobility flow-augmented stochastic SEIR-style epidemic modeling framework with the ability to distinguish different regions and their corresponding behaviors. This modeling framework is then combined with data assimilation and machine learning techniques to reconstruct the historical growth trajectories of COVID-19 confirmed cases in two counties in Wisconsin. The associations between the spread of COVID-19 and business foot traffic, race and ethnicity, and age structure are then investigated. The results reveal that, in a college town (Dane County), the most important heterogeneity is age structure, while, in a large city area (Milwaukee County), racial and ethnic heterogeneity becomes more apparent. Scenario studies further indicate a strong response of the spread rate to various reopening policies, which suggests that policy makers may need to take these heterogeneities into account very carefully when designing policies for mitigating the ongoing spread of COVID-19 and reopening.
Depletion of interstitial cells of Cajal (ICC) is certified in the stomach of diabetic patients. Though electroacupuncture (EA) at ST36 is an effective therapy to regulate gastric motility, the mechanisms of EA at ST36 on gastric emptying and networks of ICC remain to be elucidated. The aims of this study were to investigate the effects of EA on gastric emptying and on the alterations of ICC networks. Rats were randomized into the control, diabetic rats (DM), diabetic rats with sham EA (DM+SEA), diabetic rats with low frequency EA (DM+LEA) and diabetic rats with high frequency EA groups (DM+HEA). The expression of c-kit in each layer of gastric wall was assessed by western blotting. The proliferation of ICC was identified by immunolabeling of c-kit and Ki67 as the apoptosis of ICC was examined by TUNEL staining. The results were as follows: (1) Gastric emptying was severely delayed in the DM group, but accelerated in the LEA and HEA group, especially in the LEA group. (2) The expression of c-kit in each layer was reduced apparently in the DM group, but also up-regulated in the LEA and HEA group. (3) Plentiful proliferated ICC (c-kit+/Ki67+) forming bushy networks with c-kit+ cells were observed in the LEA and HEA group, while the apoptotic cells (c-kit+/TUNEL+) were hardly captured in the LEA and HEA group. Collectively, low and high frequency EA at ST36 rescue the damaged networks of ICC by inhibiting the apoptosis and enhancing the proliferation in the stomach of diabetic rats, resulting in an improved gastric emptying.
Past studies have shown that catheter diameter is one of the device-dependent problems which influence the manometric results in the conventional water perfusion esophageal manometry. High-resolution solid-state manometry which abandons water perfusion is thought as an improved manometry method benefited from more pressure sensors, and it is gradually widely used in many present esophageal motility studies. There was no research to evaluate the influence of catheter diameter on the solid-state high-resolution manometry results. The aim of this study was to investigate whether solid-state high-resolution catheters of different diameter provide different data and results. Nine asymptomatic volunteers and 18 gastroesophageal reflux disease patients accepted high-resolution manometry examinations with two solid-state catheters of different outer diameter (4.2 mm and 2.7 mm). Every examination contained 5 minutes resting pressure, 10 water swallows and 10 bread swallows. Some important parameters of the esophageal sphincters and esophageal body peristalsis were analyzed. They included the locations and resting pressure of sphincters, the distal contractile integral, the 4-second integrated relaxation pressure etc. Then, these parameters and the diagnosis of each swallow based on them provided by the two different diameter catheters were compared. (i) The 4.2 mm thick catheter provided higher upper esophageal sphincter resting pressure than the 2.7 mm thick catheter (59.4 ± 21.1 mmHg vs. 49.7 ± 21.4 mmHg); (ii) the 2.7 mm thick catheter provided higher 4-second integrated relaxation pressure than the 4.2 mm thick catheter (10.9 ± 4.5 mmHg vs. 8.5 ± 3.8 mmHg) in water swallows; (iii) the mean distal contractile integral of the water and bread swallows in the large diameter catheter were higher than in the small diameter catheter (989.2 ± 650.0 mmHg/cm/s vs. 806.3 ± 563.7 mmHg/cm/s in water swallows, 1762.5 ± 1440.6 mmHg/cm/s vs. 1275.7 ± 982.0 mmHg/cm/s in bread swallows); (iv) on the lower esophageal sphincter resting pressure, most parameters in bread swallows provided by the two catheters were of no statistical significance; (v) the 2.7 mm thick catheter detected more hypotensive peristalsis swallows than the other catheter in water swallows; and (vi) the final diagnosis of about half of the subjects provided by the two catheters were different. The 2.7 mm thick solid-state high-resolution manometry catheter provides somewhat different data from the usually used 4.2 mm thick catheter. It is needed to set up different and independent series of normative value for the solid-state high-resolution manometry catheters of different outer diameter. The normative value and diagnostic criterion got from one catheter is not universal and acceptable for researches with catheter of different diameter.
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