Due to the abrupt
nature of the chemical process, a large number
of alarms are often generated at the same time. As a result of the
flood of alarms, it largely hinders the operator from making accurate
judgments and correct actions for the root cause of the alarm. The
existing diagnosis methods for the root cause of alarms are relatively
single, and their ability to accurately find out complex accident
chains and assist decision making is weak. This paper introduces a
method that integrates the knowledge-driven method and the data-driven
method to establish an alarm causal network model and then traces
the source to realize the alarm root cause diagnosis, and develops
the related system modules. The knowledge-driven method uses the hidden
causality in the optimized hazard and operability analysis (HAZOP)
report, while the data-driven method combines the autoregressive integrated
moving average model (ARIMA) and Granger causality test, and the traceability
mechanism uses the time-based retrospective reasoning method. In the
case study, the practical application of the method is compared with
the experimental application in a real petrochemical plant. The results
show that this method helps to improve the accuracy of correct diagnosis
of the root cause of the alarm and can assist the operators in decision
making. Using this method, the root cause diagnosis of alarm can be
realized quickly and scientifically, and the probability of misjudgment
by operators can be reduced, which has a certain degree of scientificity.
Petrochemical enterprises store and process a large number of flammable, explosive, toxic and harmful chemicals, and their security protection systems are vulnerable. Once damaged by man‐made malicious will cause serious losses and adverse effects. Previous studies on the vulnerability of petrochemical enterprises have insufficient consideration of systematicity and uniqueness, and lack consideration of the correlation and game of vulnerability elements. In this study, from the perspective of system, the elements of the security accident system vulnerability are analyzed, and the vulnerability analysis model of security accident system is put forward by studying the interaction between the elements. Threat and exposure constitute the external vulnerability of security accident system, sensitivity and adaptability constitute the internal vulnerability of security accident system; and the threat plays a counter role with sensitivity and adaptability through exposure, which promotes the evolution of vulnerability; Moreover, the different vulnerability elements of security accident system evolve step by step, with the evolution of security accidents. Finally, an illustrative case proves the feasibility of the vulnerability analysis model proposed in this study. The results of this research enrich the theoretical research on vulnerability, provide a reference for the prevention and control of security accidents in petrochemical enterprises.
The utilization of data-driven methods in chemical process modeling has been extensively acknowledged due to their effectiveness. However, with the increasing complexity and variability of chemical processes, predicting and warning of anomalous conditions have become challenging. Extracting valuable features and constructing relevant warning models are critical problems that require resolution. This research proposed a novel fused method that integrates K-means density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) clustering and bi-directional long short-term memory multilayer perceptron (Bi-LSTM-MLP) to enable early warning of abnormal conditions in chemical processes. The paper applied the proposed method to analyze the early warning using actual process data from Eastman Tennessee and the atmospheric pressure reduction unit as an example. In the TE model and example, the root mean square error (RMSE) of this method is 0.006855 and 0.052546, respectively, which is quite low when compared to other methods. The experimental results confirmed the effectiveness of our approach.
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