Existing missile defense target threat assessment methods ignore the target timing and battlefield changes, leading to low assessment accuracy. In order to overcome this problem, a dynamic multi-time fusion target threat assessment method is proposed. In this method, a new interval valued intuitionistic fuzzy weighted averaging operator is proposed to effectively aggregate multi-source uncertain information; an interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy entropy based on a cosine function (IVIFECF) is designed to determine the target attribute weight; an improved interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy number distance measurement model is constructed to improve the discrimination of assessment results. Specifically, first of all, we define new interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy operation rules based on algebraic operations. We use these rules to provide a new model of interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy weighted arithmetic averaging (IVIFWAA) and geometric averaging (IVIFWGA) operators, and prove a number of algebraic properties of these operators. Then, considering the subjective and objective weights of the incoming target, a comprehensive weight model of target attributes based on IVIFECF is proposed, and the Poisson distribution method is used to solve the time series weights to process multi-time situation information. On this basis, the IVIFWAA and IVIFWGA operators are used to aggregate the decision information from multiple times and multiple decision makers. Finally, based on the improved TOPSIS method, the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy numbers are ordered, and the weighted multi-time fusion target threat assessment result is obtained. Simulation results of comparison show that the proposed method can effectively improve the reliability and accuracy of target threat assessment in missile defense.

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The weapon target allocation (WTA) problem is a crucial issue in anti-missile command decisions. However, the current anti-missile weapon target allocation models ignore the dynamic complexity, cooperation, and uncertainty in the actual combat process, which results in the misclassification and omission of targets. Therefore, we propose a bi-level dynamic anti-missile weapon target allocation model based on rolling horizon optimization and marginal benefit reprogramming to achieve rapid impact on static and dynamic uncertainties in the battlefield environment. Further, we also propose an improved bi-level recursive BBO algorithm based on hybrid migration and variation to perform fast and efficient optimization of the model objective function. A simulation analysis demonstrate that the model is suitable for larger-scale, complex, dynamic anti-missile operations in uncertain environments, while the algorithm achievesbetter solution efficiency and solution time compared with the same type of heuristic algorithm, which meet the requirements of solution accuracy and timeliness. In addition, we obtain better rolling horizon parameters to further optimize its performance.

The uncertainty of information is an important issue that must be faced when dealing with decision-making problems. Randomness and fuzziness are the two most common types of uncertainty. In this paper, we propose a multicriteria group decision-making method based on intuitionistic normal cloud and cloud distance entropy. First, the backward cloud generation algorithm for intuitionistic normal clouds is designed to transform the intuitionistic fuzzy decision information given by all experts into an intuitionistic normal cloud matrix to avoid the loss and distortion of information. Second, the distance measurement of the cloud model is introduced into the information entropy theory, and the concept of cloud distance entropy is proposed. Then, the distance measurement for intuitionistic normal clouds based on numerical features is defined and its properties are discussed, based on which the criterion weight determination method under intuitionistic normal cloud information is proposed. In addition, the VIKOR method, which integrates group utility and individual regret, is extended to the intuitionistic normal cloud environment, and thus the ranking results of the alternatives are obtained. Finally, the effectiveness and practicality of the proposed method are demonstrated by two numerical examples.