This paper proposes a prediction method based on chaos theory and an improved empirical-modal-decomposition particle-swarm-optimization long short-term-memory (EMD-PSO-LSTM)-combined optimization process for passenger flow data with high nonlinearity and dynamic space-time dependence, using EMD to process the original passenger flow data and generate several eigenmodal functions (IMFs) and residuals with different characteristic scales. Based on the chaos theory, each component of the PSO algorithm was improved by introducing an inertia factor to facilitate the adjustment of its search capability to improve optimization. Each subsequence of the phase-space reconstruction was built into an improved PSO-LSTM prediction model, and the output of each prediction model was summed to determine the final output. Experimental studies were performed using data from the North Railway Station of Chengdu Rail Transit, and the results showed that the proposed model can generate better prediction results. The proposed model obtained root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) of 16.0908 and 11.3704, respectively. Compared with the LSTM, the improved PSO-LSTM, the improved EMD-PSO-LSTM, and the model proposed in this paper improved the RMSE values by 25.53%, 29.97%, and 58.76%, respectively, and the MAE values by 30.41%, 40.13%, and 63.08%, respectively, of the prediction results.
With advent of the postepidemic era, the development of digital logistics operations management is imminent. Among the various logistics delivery methods, same-city delivery is chosen by the vast majority of customers for its timeliness and safety. Online ordering and delivery methods for same-city delivery are also gaining increasing attention from enterprises which need to know the inventory balance of all same-city warehouses in time for early deployment and response. However, in practice, the inventory balance of each warehouse can be affected by other warehouses in the same city, and there is often a lack of data in the inventory management system due to equipment and other issues resulting in a poor response from the company to handle emergencies. To address these issues, an improved matrix decomposition model was designed to interpolate the missing data by taking into account the spatiotemporal correlation between warehouses. The L-curve criterion was used to select hyperparameter values, the spatiotemporal regularize was used to capture the time dependence of the time series, and the model performance was evaluated using root mean square error and mean absolute percentage error. Comparisons with classical interpolation techniques were made to validate the improved performance of the proposed method.
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