Background The use of the traditional American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system alone has limitations in predicting the survival of buccal squamous cell carcinoma (BSCC) patients. We aimed to establish a comprehensive prognostic nomogram whose prognostic value compared with AJCC system. Methods Patients were obtained from the SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result) database. The Cox regression model was used to select variables using a backward stepwise selection method. Based on the predictive model for determining prognostic factors, a nomogram was developed to predict the cancer-specific survival rates of BSCC patients at 3, 5 and 8 years. We used several standard model validation methods to evaluate the performance of the survival model: concordance index (C-index), area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), net reclassification improvement (NRI), calibration plots, decision curve analyses (DCAs), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Results Multivariate analysis showed that age, AJCC stage, N stage, M stage, pathological grade, and surgical status were risk factors for survival. The c-index chart, the AUC chart, and the calibration chart show that the performance of the nomogram is better, and the NRI and IDI values show that the performance of the nomogram is better than that of the AJCC staging system. The 3-year, 5-year and 8-year DCA curves of nomogram show that it has more net benefit than traditional AJCC staging system, both in terms of training and validation queues. Conclusion We developed and validated the first BSCC prognosis nomogram, which has a better prognostic value than the separate AJCC staging system. Our BSCC prognosis nomogram is a valuable tool for explaining the risks of the next 3, 5 and 8 years in clinical practice.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
customersupport@researchsolutions.com
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Copyright © 2024 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.