Purpose. Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of luminal A breast cancer (BC) patients with bone metastasis remain poor and vary dramatically from person to person. Our goal was to build two universally applicable nomograms to accurately predict OS and CSS for luminal A patients with bone metastasis. Methods. The data were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database for luminal A BC patients with bone metastasis between 2010 and 2015. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were to assess and identify independent risk factors of OS and CSS. Integrating all significant predictors, nomograms and risk group stratification model was developed. The performance of the nomogram was validated with concordance index (C-index), calibration plots, and decision curve analyses (DCA) for discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical utility, respectively. Results. 3171 luminal A BC patients with bone metastasis were included. Through univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, 12 variables were identified as both independent OS- and CSS-related factors, including age, race, primary site, histology grade, tumor size, surgery, brain metastasis, liver metastasis, lung metastasis, estrogen receptor status, progesterone receptor status, and insurance. Our nomograms for 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival were based on those significant prognostic factors to develop. The C-indexes of OS- and CSS-nomograms in the training cohort were 0.701 and 0.704, respectively. Similar results were obtained in the validation cohort. The calibration curves and DCA presented satisfactory calibration and clinical utility. Conclusion. Two nomograms have good discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility, can accurately and effectively predict the prognosis of patients, and may benefit for clinical decision-making. In high-risk patients, more aggressive therapy and closer surveillance should be considered.
Objective The aim of the present study was to ascertain the independent risk factors of poor preliminary outcome and to reveal the value of these factors in predicting the postoperative prognosis. Methods A total of 165 patients diagnosed with thoracic myelopathy because of thoracic ossification of the ligamentum flavum (TOLF) were enrolled in this retrospective study. All of them underwent posterior decompressive laminectomy surgery in our hospital from May 2016 to June 2019. The postoperative improvement of symptoms was evaluated using the modified Japanese Orthopaedic Association (mJOA) scoring system. Clinical data, such as age, sex, body mass index (BMI), duration of symptoms, history of hypertension and diabetes, tobacco use, history of drinking, symptoms of incontinence, number of compressed segments, and preoperative mJOA score, were respectively recorded. Radiologic features data included sagittal maximum spinal cord compression (MSCC), axial spinal canal occupation ratio (SCOR), grades and extension of increased signal on sagittal T2‐weighted images (ISST2I), types of increased signal on axial T2‐weighted images (ISAT2I), and the classification of ossification on axial CT scan and sagittal MRI. The t‐test, the χ2‐test, Fisher's exact test, binary logistic regression analyses, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and subgroup analyses were used to evaluate the effects of individual risk predictors on surgical outcomes. Results A total of 76 men and 89 women were enrolled in this study. The mean age of all patients was 58.53 years. After comparison between two groups, we found some risk factors that may be associated with postoperative outcomes, such as age, preoperative mJOA score, BMI, history of hypertension, MSCC, SCOR, grade and extension of ISST2I, type of ISAT2I, axial type of ossification, and sagittal type of ossification (P < 0.05, respectively). Binary logistic regression analysis revealed that older age (odds ratio [OR] = 1.062, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.006–1.121, P = 0.030), number of compressed segments (OR = 1.916, 95% CI = 1.250–2.937, P = 0.003), bilateral and bridged types of ossification (OR = 4 314, 95% CI = 1.454–8.657, P = 0.019; OR = 6.630, 95% CI = 2.580–17.530, P = 0.004), and grade 1 and 2 ISST2I (OR = 8.986, 95% CI =3.056–20.294, P < 0.001; OR = 7.552, 95% CI = 3.529–16.004, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for a poor preliminary postoperative outcome. ROC curve analysis showed that the grade of ISST2I had an excellent discriminative power (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.817). In addition, risk factors have different values for predicting the clinical outcome in each subgroup. Conclusion Age, duration of symptoms, number of compressed segments, SCOR, grade, and extension of ISST2I and classification of ossification were associated with the preliminary prognosis, and the intramedullary increased signal on sagittal T2‐weighted MRI was highly predictive of poor postoperative outcome.
Purpose: The goal of this study is to construct nomograms to effectively predict the distant metastatic sites and overall survival (OS) of soft tissue sarcoma (STS) patients. Methods: STS case data between 2010 and 2015 for retrospective study were gathered from public databases. According to the chi-square and multivariate logistic regression analysis determined independent predictive factors of specific metastatic sites, the nomograms based on these factors were consturced. Subsequently, combined metastatic information a nomogram to predict 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS of STS patients was developed. The performance of models was validated by the area under the curve (AUC), calibration plots, and decision curve analyses (DCA). Results: A total of 7001 STS patients were included in this retrospective study, including 4901 cases in the training group and the remaining 2,100 patients in the validation group. Three nomograms were established to predict lung, liver and bone metastasis, and satisfactory results have been obtained by internal and external validation. The AUCs for predicting lung, liver, and bone metastases in the training cohort were 0.796, 0.799, and 0.766, respectively, and in the validation cohort were 0.807, 0.787, and 0.775, respectively, which means that the nomograms have good discrimination. The calibration curves showed that the models have high precision, and the DCA manifested that the nomograms have great clinical application prospects. Through univariate and multivariate COX regression analyses, 8 independent prognosis factors of age, grade, histological type, tumor size, surgery, chemotherapy, radiatiotherapy and lung metastasis were determined. A nomogram was then constructed to predict the 1-, 2-, and 3-years OS, which has a good performance in both internal and external validations. Conclusion: The nomograms for predicting specific metastatic sites and OS have good discrimination, accuracy and clinical applicability. The models could accurately predict the metastatic risk and survival information, and help clinical decision-making.
Background Intraspinal gas pseudocyst is rare, especially following spinal surgery. Here we present a case of spinal epidural gas pseudocyst following lumbar decompression surgery, which caused dura sac compression. Case presentation A 52-years-old woman with chronic lumbar pain and radiating numbness of left leg was admitted to our hospital and underwent a posterior lumbar decompression surgery. 10 days later, the patient began to have dysfunction of excretion. CT and MRI were taken and epidural gas was detected, which compressed the dura sac. A huge pseudocyst encapsulated with high-tension air was found during debridement with no evidence of infection. Results Debridement surgery was taken to remove the encapsulated gas and cyst wall and her symptoms disappeared soon after the surgery. 2 weeks later, routine X-ray was repeated and gas pseudocyst disappeared with no signs of infection. Conclusion Gas pseudocyst in the spinal canal is rare, especially after lumbar surgery and causing spinal cord compression. CT and MRI can be used to detect the spinal gas. Once gas pseudocyst causes dura sac compression, proper methods should be chosen to treat this kind of intraspinal gas pseudocyst.
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