A total of 100,000 records of Holstein dairy cows in Hokkaido, Japan, were used to study the current characteristics of their length of productive life, to build up a suitable model for genetic survival analysis, and to apply the piecewise Weibull baseline model. The data for this analysis only included records of cows belonging to herds in which more than 60% of cows had type score. Compared with other studies, the proportions of cows with only 1 or 2 calvings were low (24 and 46%, respectively), indicating a very low culling rate in first or second parity in Hokkaido. The median length of productive life was about 1,250 d (3 yr and 5 mo). Four different definitions of stages of lactation were studied. The best fit of the data was obtained when stages of lactation were chosen with cutpoints at 0, 60, 250, and 350 d after calving. Whatever the definition of stages of lactation, the piecewise Weibull baseline model was better than a unique baseline model. The estimated shape Weibull parameters rho for the different parity x stage of lactation combinations varied greatly (1.0 to 5.0). The estimated hazard functions based on the piecewise Weibull baseline model were smooth and reflected the important changes in observed hazard within lactation. The results of this study are expected to contribute to the development of a genetic model for sire evaluation and to genetic improvement of length of productive life of Holstein cattle in Hokkaido, Japan.

Records of Holstein dairy cows in Hokkaido, Japan, were used to study the effects of environmental factors on length of productive life and to estimate genetic parameters for length of productive life. Each record was assigned to 1 of 3 data sets depending on the percentage of type-scored cows in the herd. This percentage was considered to partly reflect the management policy in each herd, in particular regarding culling. The A, B, and C data sets consisted of herds with none, less than 60%, and more than 60% of type-scored cows, respectively, and included 158,719, 787,598, and 131,499 records, respectively. Analyses of length of productive life were separately carried out on each data set using the Survival Kit software (Version 5.0). Nonparametric hazards estimates and the shape parameters of the baseline Weibull distribution differed between the 3 data sets. A cow having a sire originating from the United States or Canada had a relatively lower risk of being culled than a cow having Japanese sire in data set C. However, in data set A, a cow having a Canadian sire had a higher relative risk than a cow having a Japanese sire. The herd-year variance for data set A was about twice as large as for data set C. In contrast, the sire variance for data set A was about 40% of the one for data set C. As a result, heritability varied across data sets from 0.046 to 0.134. The results of this study suggest that it is important to consider factors related to herd management policy, such as the percentage of type-scored cows, in genetic analyses on length of productive life of Holstein cows in Hokkaido, Japan.

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We examined the effects of heat stress (HS) on production traits, somatic cell score (SCS) and conception rate at first insemination (CR) in Holsteins in Japan. We used a total of 228 242 records of milk, fat and protein yields, and SCS for the first three lactations, as well as of CR in heifers and in first- and second-lactation cows that had calved for the first time between 2000 and 2012. Records from 47 prefectural weather stations throughout Japan were used to calculate the temperature-humidity index (THI); areas were categorized into three regional groups: no HS (THI < 72), mild HS (72 ≤ THI < 79), and moderate HS (THI ≥ 79). Trait records from the three HS-region groups were treated as three different traits and trivariate animal models were used. The genetic correlations between milk yields from different HS groups were very high (0.91 to 0.99). Summer calving caused the greatest increase in SCS, and in the first and second lactations this increase became greater as THI increased. In cows, CR was affected by the interaction between HS group and insemination month: with summer and early autumn insemination, there was a reduction in CR, and it was much larger in the mild- and moderate-HS groups than in the no-HS group.

We investigated the relationships between conception rates (CRs) at first service in Japanese Holstein heifers (i.e. animals that had not yet had their first calf) and cows and their test-day (TD) milk yields. Data included records of artificial insemination (AI) for heifers and cows that had calved for the first time between 2000 and 2008 and their TD milk yields at 6 through 305 days in milk (DIM) from first through third lactations. CR was defined as a binary trait for which first AI was a failure or success. A threshold-linear animal model was applied to estimate genetic correlations between CRs of heifers or cows and TD milk yield at various lactation stages. Two-trait genetic analyses were performed for every combination of CR and TD milk yield by using the Bayesian method with Gibbs sampling. The posterior means of the heritabilities of CR were 0.031 for heifers, 0.034 for first-lactation cows and 0.028 for second-lactation cows. Heritabilities for TD milk yield increased from 0.324 to 0.433 with increasing DIM but decreased slightly after 210 DIM during first lactation. These heritabilities from the second and third lactations were higher during late stages of lactation than during early stages. Posterior means of the genetic correlations between heifer CR and all TD yields were positive (range, 0.082 to 0.287), but those between CR of cows and milk yields during first or second lactation were negative (range, 20.121 to 20.250). Therefore, during every stage of lactation, selection in the direction of increasing milk yield may reduce CR in cows. The genetic relationships between CR and lactation curve shape were quite weak, because the genetic correlations between CR and TD milk yield were constant during the lactation period.