BACKGROUND Signet ring cell carcinoma (SRCC) is an uncommon subtype in colorectal cancer (CRC), with a short survival time. Therefore, it is imperative to establish a useful prognostic model. As a simple visual predictive tool, nomograms combining a quantification of all proven prognostic factors have been widely used for predicting the outcomes of patients with different cancers in recent years. Until now, there has been no nomogram to predict the outcome of CRC patients with SRCC. AIM To build effective nomograms for predicting overall survival (OS) and cause-specific survival (CSS) of CRC patients with SRCC. METHODS Data were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2004 and 2015. Multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent variables for both OS and CSS to construct the nomograms. Performance of the nomograms was assessed by concordance index, calibration curves, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. ROC curves were also utilized to compare benefits between the nomograms and the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system. Patients were classified as high-risk, moderate-risk, and low-risk groups using the novel nomograms. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted to compare survival differences. RESULTS In total, 1230 patients were included. The concordance index of the nomograms for OS and CSS were 0.737 (95% confidence interval: 0.728-0.747) and 0.758 (95% confidence interval: 0.738-0.778), respectively. The calibration curves and ROC curves demonstrated good predictive accuracy. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year area under the curve values of the nomogram for predicting OS were 0.796, 0.825 and 0.819, in comparison to 0.743, 0.798, and 0.803 for the TNM staging system. In addition, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year area under the curve values of the nomogram for predicting CSS were 0.805, 0.847 and 0.863, in comparison to 0.740, 0.794, and 0.800 for the TNM staging system. Based on the novel nomograms, stratified analysis showed that the 5-year probability of survival in the high-risk, moderate-risk, and low-risk groups was 6.8%, 37.7%, and 67.0% for OS ( P < 0.001), as well as 9.6%, 38.5%, and 67.6% for CSS ( P < 0.001), respectively. CONCLUSION Convenient and visual nomograms were built and validated to accurately predict the OS and CSS rates for CRC patients with SRCC, which are superior to the conventional TNM staging system.
Background: Lateral pelvic lymph node (LPLN) is approximately 11-14% and always associated with poorer prognosis. This study investigated the efficacy and safety of simultaneous integrated boost intensitymodulated radiation therapy (SIB-IMRT) based on neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) on locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients with clinically suspected positive LPLNs. Methods: We retrospectively screened distal LARC patients with NCRT in our center from May 2016 and June 2019. The diagnostic criteria of positive LPLN were nodes of over 7 mm in short axis and irregular border or mixed-signal intensity. All patients with clinically suspected positive LPLN received 56-60 Gy SIB-IMRT in the LPLN area. Concurrent chemotherapy regimens were capecitabine as monotherapy treatment or in combination with oxaliplatin. The toxicities, local-regional recurrence (LRR), and diseasefree survival (DFS) were investigated.Results: Fifty-two eligible patients with clinically suspected positive LPLN were screened and analyzed.The median distance from the distal tumor to the anal verge was 4 cm (range, 0-8 cm), while magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) analysis revealed the median short diameter of the pelvic LPLN to be 8 mm (range, 7-20 mm). There were 28 (53.8%) mesorectal fascia (MRF) positive and 22 (42.3%) extramural venous invasion (EMVI) positive patients. A radiotherapy dose of 41.8 Gy was administered to the pelvic area, while the LPLN received a median SIB dose of 60.0 Gy (range, 56-60 Gy) across 22 fractions.Synchronous capecitabine with or without oxaliplatin was administered during radiotherapy. In summary, 15 (28.8%) patients displayed grade 2-3 radiation-related toxicity, 8 (15.4%) patients underwent additional LPLN dissection, and positive nodes (26 nodes in total) were not observed. One patient suffered a LLR in the presacral region. The median follow-up duration was 21.2 months (range, 4.7-45.0 months), while the duration of 1-and 2-year DFS were 89.9% and 74.6%, respectively. Patients did not display LPLN recurrence. Conclusions:The safety and efficacy of SIB-IMRT on clinically suspected positive LPLN of LARC patients were deemed acceptable. Patients did not exhibit in-field LPLN recurrence after NCRT combined with single total mesorectal excision (TME).
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