The transmission of stock price fluctuations of listed companies in the rare earth industry has complex characteristics. Mastering its transmission law is of great meaning to understand the relationship between the upstream and downstream of the rare earth industry chain and market investment. This article uses the time series of daily closing prices of stocks in the global rare earth industry chain in the past ten years as the research object. The Granger causality test and complex network theory were used to construct the risk transmission network of the industrial chain. We have identified the key stocks in the network of stock price fluctuation in the rare earth industry chain and obtained the transmission path of stock price fluctuation. According to the results: (1) The stocks of Chinese and Japanese listed companies considerably influence the transmission of the stock price fluctuation in the rare earth industry chain. (2) The transmission distance of the stock price fluctuation of each network is relatively small, and the transmission speed is relatively fast. (3) The fluctuation of stock price in the rare earth industry chain is mainly transmitted from the upstream and midstream links to the midstream and downstream links.
Background: Eosinophils, basophils, white blood cells (WBC), and immunoglobulin E (IgE) play major roles in the pathogenesis of atopic dermatitis (AD), bullous pemphigoid (BP), drug reaction with eosinophilia and systemic symptoms (DRESS), and hypereosinophilic syndrome (HES). This study aimed to describe these parameters in different skin diseases and provide further information concerning the underlying pathogenesis.Methods: A cross-sectional study of blood test results, including WBC count, peripheral eosinophil count, peripheral basophil/WBC percentage, and IgE level, from 115 cases of AD, 75 cases of BP, 55 cases of DRESS, 119 cases of HES, and 621 healthy volunteers was performed in China. Data from before and after treatment and the population distribution of different diseases were compared and described.Results: All participants showed increased peripheral eosinophil counts, eosinophil/WBC ratios, IgE levels, and decreased peripheral basophil counts, with variance among the different disease groups.Peripheral eosinophil counts in HES patients and IgE level in AD patients increased the most prominently.No significant correlation existed among eosinophils, basophils, and IgE. An obvious decrease in eosinophil count was demonstrated after treatment in all 4 diseases. Conclusions: Eosinophils, basophils, and IgE exert functions in diverse skin diseases, presenting altered peripheral blood test results. In some cases, these changes are demonstrated only in the skin and not in the blood. Compared with the other parameters considered in this study, eosinophils seemed to be a better biomarker for treatment effects, regardless of the disease type.
In recent years, with the rapid development of the lithium-ion battery industry, the massive upstream consumption of mineral raw materials has led to great crises and challenges in balancing global supply and demand. A diversity of trading partners can effectively alleviate the pressure of supply and demand for raw materials; so, it is particularly important for trading countries to find suitable trading partners. This study takes nine important minerals contained in the main element raw materials of lithium-ion batteries as the research object, and the international trade data range from 2011 to 2020. The study combines complex networks and motifs and links prediction methods to predict the potential international trade relations of the nine minerals based on the actual network topology. We summarize three trade link rules as follows. (1) The predicted links have a timeliness requirement, and they generally turn into actual trade links within 3 years. (2) When looking for trading partners, trading countries tend to establish long-term and stable trade relations. (3) The existing trade relations will promote the establishment of predicted trade relations. In addition, we find that successfully predicted links will promote the formation of important motifs in the network. This study can provide a theoretical basis for trading countries to find suitable trading partners and can strengthen the safety of trading countries in the trade of the main element minerals for lithium-ion batteries.
The rise and fall of crude oil prices, gold prices, and US dollar exchange rates is of great significance to investors. It is necessary to explore the evolution characteristics of the causal relationship between crude oil, gold, and US dollar, so as to provide reference for investors. We selected the ICE Brent crude oil continuous futures, the ICE WTI crude oil continuous futures, the NYMEX light crude oil continuous futures, the COMEX gold continuous futures, and the US dollar index as the research objects. Based on the theory of pattern causality, the causal relationship between crude oil, gold, and US dollar is divided into positive causal relationship (T), negative causal relationship (F), and disordered causal relationship (D). The causal modal evolution network of crude oil and gold prices against the US dollar index (BWCGG-U) and the causal relationship modal evolution network of the US dollar index on the price of crude oil and gold (U-BWCGG) were constructed. Complex network and sliding window are used to study the evolution characteristics of short-term causality between crude oil and gold and US dollar in 60 days. The results show that (1) the modes of causality between crude oil, gold, and the US dollar index are constantly changing, with a few key modes. The key modes are often transmitted to themselves. (2) The most critical modes of two networks are all FFFF, and the negative causality between gold and the US dollar index is more stable. Investors based on the gold (dollar index) price to judge the dollar index (gold futures) investment program are more reliable. (3) When crude oil and gold show causal modes of FFFF and DDDF, respectively, the emergence and transformation of the modes can be maintained for a period of time to provide a certain guarantee for investors’ investment. However, its internal conversion rate is high, which needs to be judged in combination with the actual situation to improve the forecasting ability.
Background: The diversification of product production and consumption generates closer links between industrial sectors and increases the complexity of indirect energy flows between industrial sectors and interdepartmental interdependence. Methods: We calculated the indirect energy flows between various industrial sectors in 2002, 2007, 2012 and 2017. Then, we have built four indirect energy flow networks and explored the characteristics and the interdependence of indirect energy consumption between sectors. Finally, a quadratic assignment procedure correlation analysis was performed to clarify the relationship between the indirect energy flow relationship and the dependence relationship between industrial sectors.Results: Different industrial sectors play different roles in the process of indirect energy consumption, with a more concentrated indirect energy supply among industrial sectors compared with consumption and a gradual shift in the indirect energy supply from the chemical industry to the service industry. Higher and more stable flow paths that carry indirect energy flows and clearer interdepartmental dependencies are reflected in the upstream and downstream links of the industrial chain. The correlation between indirect energy flows and interdepartmental dependencies is gradually increasing but requires improvements to further optimize China’s industrial structure and reduce energy consumption.Conclusions: Efforts should be made to reduce the energy supply in the chemical sector, optimize the quality of the energy supply in the service sector, and reduce energy consumption. Appropriate attention should be focused on the indirect energy flow relationship between the upstream and downstream industries of the industrial chain, and the integrity of the domestic industrial chain can be improved to reduce the total energy consumption.
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