Following publication of results from two phase-3 clinical trials in 10 countries or territories, endemic countries began licensing the first dengue vaccine in 2015. Using a published mathematical model, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of dengue vaccination in populations similar to those at the trial sites in those same Latin American and Asian countries. Our main scenarios (30-year horizon, 80% coverage) entailed 3-dose routine vaccinations costing US$20/dose beginning at age 9, potentially supplemented by catch-up programs of 4- or 8-year cohorts. We obtained illness costs per case, dengue mortality, vaccine wastage, and vaccine administration costs from the literature. We estimated that routine vaccination would reduce yearly direct and indirect illness cost per capita by 22% (from US$10.51 to US$8.17) in the Latin American countries and by 23% (from US$5.78 to US$4.44) in the Asian countries. Using a health system perspective, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) averaged US$4,216/disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted in the five Latin American countries (range: US$666/DALY in Puerto Rico to US$5,865/DALY in Mexico). In the five Asian countries, the ICER averaged US$3,751/DALY (range: US$1,935/DALY in Malaysia to US$5,101/DALY in the Philippines). From a health system perspective, the vaccine proved to be highly cost effective (ICER under one times the per capita GDP) in seven countries and cost effective (ICER 1-3 times the per capita GDP) in the remaining three countries. From a societal perspective, routine vaccination proved cost-saving in three countries. Including catch-up campaigns gave similar ICERs. Thus, this vaccine could have a favorable economic value in sites similar to those in the trials.
Abstract.As dengue causes about 4,000 symptomatic nonfatal episodes for every dengue death globally, quantitative disability assessments are critical to assess the burden of dengue and the cost-effectiveness of dengue control interventions. This systematic analysis of disability or quality of life lost from a symptomatic nonfatal dengue episode combined a systematic literature review, statistical modeling, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. We conceptualized a dengue episode as having two phases: acute and persistent symptoms. Our estimates for the acute phase, consisting of onset and recovery periods and defined as the first 20 days (0.054 year), were based on literature review. We searched PubMed, POPLINE, EconLit, Google Scholar, scientific conferences, and other sources, for “dengue” plus “quality of life” or related terms. From 4,322 initial entries, six met our criteria (original studies with empirical data). The median disability-adjusted life year (DALY) burden for the acute phase was 0.011 (95% certainty interval [CI]: 0.006–0.015) for ambulatory episodes, 0.015 (CI: 0.010–0.020) for hospitalized episodes, and 0.012 (CI: 0.006–0.019) overall. Using literature reviews about persistent dengue, we estimated that 34% of episodes experienced persistent symptoms with a median duration of symptoms of 0.087 (CI: 0.040–0.359) year, which resulted in median DALYs of 0.019 (CI: 0.008–0.082). Thus, the overall median DALY burden was 0.031 (CI: 0.017–0.092) for ambulatory episodes, 0.035 (CI: 0.024–0.096) for hospitalized episodes, and 0.032 (CI: 0.018–0.093) overall. Our dengue-specific burden of a dengue episode was 2.1 times the 2013 Global Burden of Disease estimate. These literature-based estimates provide an empirical summary for policy and cost-effectiveness analyses.
Background Limited data are available on the economic costs of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections among infants and young children in the United States. Methods We performed a systematic literature review of 10 key databases to identify studies published between 1 January 2014 and 2 August 2021 that reported RSV-related costs in US children aged 0–59 months. Costs were extracted and a systematic analysis was performed. Results Seventeen studies were included. Although an RSV hospitalization (RSVH) of an extremely premature infant costs 5.6 times that of a full-term infant ($10 214), full-term infants accounted for 82% of RSVHs and 70% of RSVH costs. Medicaid-insured infants were 91% more likely than commercially insured infants to be hospitalized for RSV treatment in their first year of life. Medicaid financed 61% of infant RSVHs. Paying 32% less per hospitalization than commercial insurance, Medicaid paid 51% of infant RSVH costs. Infants’ RSV treatment costs $709.6 million annually, representing $187 per overall birth and $227 per publicly funded birth. Conclusions Public sources pay for more than half of infants’ RSV medical costs, constituting the highest rate of RSVHs and the highest expenditure per birth. Full-term infants are the predominant source of infant RSVHs and costs.
Objectives We aimed to quantify the impact of dental caries and missing anterior teeth on employment, estimate the impact of a routine dental visit on the health of anterior teeth, and the benefits of expanding dental coverage for nonelderly adults. Methods We used the 2013–2014 Continuous National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey to develop a dental problem index (DPI) using tooth counts and tooth surface conditions. We estimated the impact of DPI on employment with logistic regression, controlling for seven demographic and socioeconomic covariates. We used a routine dental visit within 6 months as a proxy for access to dental services, and a linear regression to predict the DPI score for an average individual with and without a recent routine dental visit. We then computed the incremental probability of employment associated with a recent routine dental visit. Finally, we estimated the additional number of working age adults who might become employed due to improved access to dental services. Results The probability of being employed was negatively associated with poor oral health: a one‐point increase in DPI decreased the odds of being employed by 7.70 percent (CI: 5.15–10.19%). Having a routine dental visit had a negative and statistically significant impact on DPI [−0.41 (CI: −0.68 to −0.14)]. The incremental probability of employment associated with a routine dental visit was 0.62 percent (CI: 0.21–1.03%). Conclusions Oral health in the United States is worse among minorities and poor than among other residents. The benefits associated with access to dental care should justify expanding dental services.
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