In this paper, consistently trained Artificial Neural Network controller for automatic ship berthing is discussed. Minimum time course changing manoeuvre is utilised to ensure such consistency and a new concept named 'virtual window' is introduced. Such consistent teaching data are then used to train two separate multi-layered feed forward neural networks for command rudder and propeller revolution output. After proper training, several known and unknown conditions are tested to judge the effectiveness of the proposed controller using Monte Carlo simulations. After getting acceptable percentages of success, the trained networks are implemented for the free running experiment system to judge the network's real time response for Esso Osaka 3-m model ship. The network's behaviour during such experiments is also investigated for possible effect of initial conditions as well as wind disturbances. Moreover, since the final goal point of the proposed controller is set at some distance from the actual pier to ensure safety, therefore a study on automatic tug assistance is also discussed for the final alignment of the ship with actual pier. http://www.transnav.eu the International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation Volume 9 Number 3
Ship berthing has always considered as a multiple input multiple output phenomenon. And such controlling action becomes even more sophisticated when the ship approaches to a pier especially in low speed. The current and presence of wind also make the task more complicated. But, if a human brain can be replicated by any artificial intelligence technique to perform the same necessary action that human brain does, then automatic operation during complete berthing process is believed to be possible by many researchers. For that purpose as an initial stage of this research, artificial neural network is chosen as one of AI techniques for automatic berthing and to increase its learnability, concentration is given on the consistency of the teaching data provided. To do that, nonlinear programming method is used where ship's actual behavior is predicted using famous manoeuvring mathematical group model. After successfully training, ANN controller is tested for various known and unknown condition including wind disturbances and found good results. Finally, to verify the simulated successful results, the current research is based on execution of free running experiment with the implementation of automatic ship berthing using the same trained ANN where adequate decisions for command rudder and propeller revolution taken are decided automatically depending on real time multiple input parameters.
Assessment of possible changes in crops water stress due to climate alteration is essential for agricultural planning, particularly in arid regions where water supply is the major challenge for agricultural development. This study aims to project climatic water availability (CWA) and crop water demand (CWD) to outline the possible future agricultural water stress of Iraq for different radiative concentration pathways (RCPs). The ensemble means of downscaled precipitation and temperature projections of the selected global climate models (GCMs) were used in a simple water balance model for this purpose. The modified Mann–Kendall (mMK) trend test was employed to estimate the tendency in CWA and the Wilcoxon rank test to evaluate CWD alteration in three future time horizons compared to the base period (1971–2000). The results revealed a decrease in CWA at a rate of up to −34/year during 2010–2099 for RCP8.5. The largest declination would be in summer (−29/year) and an insignificant decrease in winter (−1.3/year). The study also showed an increase in CWD of all major crops for all scenarios. The highest increase in CWD would be for summer crops, approximately 320 mm, and the lowest for winter crops, nearly 32 mm for RCP8.5 in the far future (2070–2099). The decrease in CWA and increase in CWD would cause a sharp rise in crop water stress in Iraq. This study indicates that the increase in temperature is the main reason for a large increase in CWD and increased agricultural water stress in Iraq.
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