As an important part of a smart city, intelligent transport can effectively reduce energy consumption and environmental pollution. Traffic flow forecasting provides a reliable traffic dispatch basis for intelligent transport, and most of the existing prediction methods only predict a single saturation or speed and do not use the saturation and speed in a unified way. This paper proposes a new traffic flow prediction method based on RNN-GCN and BRB. First, the belief rule base (BRB) is used for data fusion to obtain new traffic flow data, then the recurrent neural network (RNN) and graph convolution neural network (GCN) model is used to obtain the time correlation of the traffic data, and finally, the traffic flow is predicted by the topology graph. The experimental results show that the method has a better performance than ARIMA, LSTM, and GCN.
This work proposes a 3D shaped optic fiber sensor for ultrasonic stress waves detection based on the principle of a Mach–Zehnder interferometer. This sensor can be used to receive acoustic emission signals in the passive damage detection methods and other types of ultrasonic signals propagating in the active damage detection methods, such as guided wave-based methods. The sensitivity of an ultrasonic fiber sensor based on the Mach–Zehnder interferometer mainly depends on the length of the sensing optical fiber; therefore, the proposed sensor achieves the maximum possible sensitivity by wrapping an optical fiber on a hollow cylinder with a base. The deformation of the optical fiber is produced by the displacement field of guided waves in the hollow cylinder. The sensor was first analyzed using the finite element method, which demonstrated its basic sensing capacity, and the simulation signals have the same characteristics in the frequency domain as the excitation signal. Subsequently, the primary investigations were conducted via a series of experiments. The sensor was used to detect guided wave signals excited by a piezoelectric wafer in an aluminum plate, and subsequently it was tested on a reinforced concrete beam, which produced acoustic emission signals via impact loading and crack extension when it was loaded to failure. The signals obtained from a piezoelectric acoustic emission sensor were used for comparison, and the results indicated that the proposed 3D fiber optic sensor can detect ultrasonic signals in the specific frequency response range.
In the fault diagnosis of the flywheel system, the input information of the system is uncertain. This uncertainty is mainly caused by the interference of environmental factors and the limited cognitive ability of experts. The BRB (belief rule base) shows a good ability for dealing with problems of information uncertainty and small sample data. However, the initialization of the BRB relies on expert knowledge, and it is difficult to obtain the accurate knowledge of flywheel faults when constructing BRB models. Therefore, this paper proposes a new BRB model, called the FFBRB (fuzzy fault tree analysis and belief rule base), which can effectively solve the problems existing in the BRB. The FFBRB uses the Bayesian network as a bridge, uses an FFTA (fuzzy fault tree analysis) mechanism to build the BRB’s expert knowledge, uses ER (evidential reasoning) as its reasoning tool, and uses P-CMA-ES (projection covariance matrix adaptation evolutionary strategies) as its optimization model algorithm. The feasibility and superiority of the proposed method are verified by an example of a flywheel friction torque fault tree.
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