This study introduces four heterogeneous ensemble-learning techniques, that is, stacking, blending, simple averaging, and weighted averaging, to predict landslide susceptibility in Yanshan County, China. These techniques combine several state-of-the-art classifiers of convolutional neural network, recurrent neural network, support vector machine, and logistic regression in specific ways to produce reliable results and avoid problems with the model selection. The study consists of three main steps. The first step establishes a spatial database consisting of 16 landslide conditioning factors and 380 historical landslide locations. The second step randomly selects training (70% of the total) and test (30%) datasets out of grid cells corresponding to landslide and non-slide locations in the study area. The final step constructs the proposed heterogeneous ensemble-learning methods for landslide susceptibility mapping. The proposed ensemble-learning methods show higher prediction accuracy than the individual classifiers mentioned above based on statistical measures. The blending ensemble-learning method achieves the highest overall accuracy of 80.70% compared to the other ensemble-learning methods.
h i g h l i g h t s• A new SIS network model obtained by introducing an information variable is proposed. • The diseases can be controlled through high efficiency of implementation.• The introduced parameters have significant impact on the final prevalence density.• The results may suggest effective control strategies incorporating media coverage. a b s t r a c t An SIS network model incorporating the influence of media coverage on transmission rate is formulated and analyzed. We calculate the basic reproduction number R 0 by utilizing the local stability of the disease-free equilibrium. Our results show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and that the disease dies out if R 0 is below 1; otherwise, the disease will persist and converge to a unique positive stationary state. This result may suggest effective control strategies to prevent disease through media coverage and education activities in finite-size scale-free networks. Numerical simulations are also performed to illustrate our results and to give more insights into the dynamical process.
Population contact pattern plays an important role in the spread of an infectious disease. This can be described in the framework of a complex network approach. In this paper network epidemic models for influenza-like diseases that may have infectious force in incubative or asymptomatic stage are formulated and studied. Two general types of network models are considered: the annealed and the quenched networks. The next-generation matrix approach is employed to compute the basic reproduction number of our networkbased models. The implicit equations for the final epidemic size are derived, and the existence and uniqueness of solutions for implicit equations are studied by rewriting implicit equations as suitable fixedpoint problems. In particular, for networks with no degree correlation, low-dimensional systems of nonlinear ordinary differential model are derived by employing an edge-based compartmental approach. Due to their low dimension, a gap between the parameter identification problem for influenza-like diseases or network inference and network epidemic models may be
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