This paper proposes an artificial intelligence system that continuously improves over time at event prediction using initially unlabelled data by using self-supervised learning. Time-series data are inherently autocorrelated. By using a detection model to generate weak labels on the fly, which are concurrently used as targets to train a prediction model on a time-shifted input data stream, this autocorrelation can effectively be harnessed to reduce the burden of manual labelling. This is critical in medical patient monitoring, as it enables the development of personalized forecasting models without demanding the annotation of long sequences of physiological signal recordings. We perform a feasibility study on seizure prediction, which is identified as an ideal test case, as pre-ictal brainwaves are patient-specific, and tailoring models to individual patients is known to improve forecasting performance significantly. Our self-supervised approach is used to train individualized forecasting models for 10 patients, showing an average relative improvement in sensitivity by 14.30% and a reduction in false alarms by 19.61% in early seizure forecasting. This proof-of-concept on the feasibility of using a continuous stream of time-series neurophysiological data paves the way towards a low-power neuromorphic neuromodulation system.
A vast majority of epileptic seizure (ictal) detection on electroencephalogram (EEG) data has been retrospective. Therefore, even though some may include many patients and extensive evaluation benchmarking, they all share a heavy reliance on labelled data. This is perhaps the most significant obstacle against the utility of seizure detection systems in clinical settings. In this paper, we present a prospective automatic ictal detection and labelling performed at the level of a human expert (arbiter) and reduces labelling time by more than an order of magnitude. Accurate seizure detection and labelling are still a time-consuming and cumbersome task in epilepsy monitoring units (EMUs) and epilepsy centres, particularly in countries with limited facilities and insufficiently trained human resources. This work implements a convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM) network that is pre-trained and tested on Temple University Hospital (TUH) EEG corpus. It is then deployed prospectively at the Comprehensive Epilepsy Service at the Royal Prince Alfred Hospital (RPAH) in Sydney, Australia, testing nearly 14,590 hours of EEG data across nine years. Our system prospectively labelled RPAH epilepsy ward data and subsequently reviewed by two neurologists and three certified EEG specialists. Our clinical result shows the proposed method achieves a 92.19% detection rate for an average time of 7.62 mins per 24 hrs of recorded 18-channel EEG. A human expert usually requires about 2 hrs of reviewing and labelling per any 24 hrs of recorded EEG and is often assisted by a wide range of auxiliary data such as patient, carer, or nurse inputs. In this prospective analysis, we consider humans' role as an expert arbiter who confirms to reject each alarm raised by our system. We achieved an average of 56 false alarms per 24 hrs.
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