The present study aims to design stochastic intelligent computational heuristics for the numerical treatment of a nonlinear SITR system representing the dynamics of novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The mathematical SITR system using fractal parameters for COVID-19 dynamics is divided into four classes; that is, susceptible (S), infected (I), treatment (T), and recovered (R). The comprehensive details of each class along with the explanation of every parameter are provided, and the dynamics of novel COVID-19 are represented by calculating the solution of the mathematical SITR system using feed-forward artificial neural networks (FF-ANNs) trained with global search genetic algorithms (GAs) and speedy fine tuning by sequential quadratic programming (SQP)—that is, an FF-ANN-GASQP scheme. In the proposed FF-ANN-GASQP method, the objective function is formulated in the mean squared error sense using the approximate differential mapping of FF-ANNs for the SITR model, and learning of the networks is proficiently conducted with the integrated capabilities of GA and SQP. The correctness, stability, and potential of the proposed FF-ANN-GASQP scheme for the four different cases are established through comparative assessment study from the results of numerical computing with Adams solver for single as well as multiple autonomous trials. The results of statistical evaluations further authenticate the convergence and prospective accuracy of the FF-ANN-GASQP method.
The aim of the present paper is to state a simplified nonlinear mathematical model to describe the dynamics of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19). The design of the mathematical model is described in terms of four categories susceptible ([Formula: see text], infected ([Formula: see text], treatment ([Formula: see text] and recovered ([Formula: see text], i.e. SITR model with fractals parameters. These days there are big controversy on if is needed to apply confinement measure to the population of the word or if the infection must develop a natural stabilization sharing with it our normal life (like USA or Brazil administrations claim). The aim of our study is to present different scenarios where we draw the evolution of the model in four different cases depending on the contact rate between people. We show that if no confinement rules are applied the stabilization of the infection arrives around 300 days affecting a huge number of population. On the contrary with a contact rate small, due to confinement and social distancing rules, the stabilization of the infection is reached earlier.
The stomach is usually considered as a hollow muscular sac, which initiates the second segment of digestion. It is the most sophisticated endocrine structure having unique biochemistry, physiology, microbiology, and immunology. The pivotal aim of the present study is to propose the nonlinear mathematical model of the nervous stomach system based on three compartments namely, tension (T), food (F), and medicine (M). The detailed description of each compartment is provided along with the mathematical form and different rates/factors, such as sleep factor, food rate, tension rate, medicine term, and death rate. The solution of the designed model is presented numerically by using the well-known differential transformation technique. The behavior of the obtained solution has been captured with respect to time as well as presentations of the numerical simulations.
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