Jumlah mahasiswa baru suatu universitas selama 5 tahun terakhir yaitu mulai tahun 2016 hingga tahun 2020 mengalami kenaikan dan penurunan. Data tersebut selanjutnya akan digunakan untuk memprediksi pada tahun mendatang. Tujuan dibuat sebuah prediksi adalah untuk mengetahui rasio dosen yang tersedia dengan jumlah mahasiswa baru, mempersiapkan ruang kuliah dan juga fasilitas lainnya. Salah satu metode dengan penggunaan data masa lampau untuk melakukan prediksi adalah dengan metode regresi linier. Pada penelitian ini yang menjadi variabel bebas adalah periode tahun akademik sedangkan yang menjadi variabel terikat adalah jumlah mahasiswa baru. Data yang akan digunakan merupakan data mahasiswa baru fakultas sains dan teknologi yang terdiri dari 6 program studi dengan nilai MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) yaitu matematika , ilmu kelautan , biologi , sistem informasi , arsitektur , dan teknik lingkungan . Berdasarkan hasil analisis data tersebut juga didapatkan prediksi jumlah mahasiswa baru 5 tahun kedepan dengan hasil cenderung turun untuk setiap program studi.
Moral development needs to be instilled from an early age, including awareness of gender differences. Moral instillation in children will hopefully have implications for their awareness and sensitivity about pro-social conditions that must be built properly. One of the actions of instilling moral education through music activities is movement and the song "touch is not allowed". The aims of the study were 1) to describe the implementation of movement and song activities in improving children's sexual moral education, 2) to find out the results of the development of sexual moral education in children. The research method used was Classroom Action Research (PTK) which was carried out in two cycles in Group A2 RA Mujahidin Sumberkima Bali. The research data was collected through observation techniques, documentation, and analysis of child development outcomes. The results of the study concluded that 1) activities to increase the knowledge of AUD sexual Moral Education through gestures and touching songs are not permitted by mentioning which limbs may be touched and which cannot be touched, singing and imitating movements and songs, touching is not permitted, 2) movement activities and songs are able increasing the development of children's sexual moral understanding in cycle 1 by 53% and increasing in cycle II by 92% and this shows the category of achieving the target of completeness. The results of this study indicate that knowledge of sexual moral education by practicing movements and songs has implications for increasing knowledge of sexual moral education in early childhood at this research location.
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