Changes in climate, precipitation and air temperature in the Southern Urals over the past 133 years are considered. A decrease in the climatic norm of atmospheric precipitation by 24 mm and an increase in the air temperature in the region by 1.2 º C were revealed. The main decrease in precipitation occurred during the growing season of early crops, and air temperatures in the autumn-winter period, which significantly changed the conditions for agronomy. The increasing aridity of the climate has worsened the conditions for growing spring crops. The applied system of rain-fed agriculture in Orenburg region provides the use of only 30–40% of annual precipitation. Early winter sowing of spring wheat in frozen ground with snow cover up to 10–15 cm is proposed. With them, seed germination, seedlings and tillering of plants are well provided with moisture and have favorable temperature conditions in April-May. Plants with a strong root system can get soil moisture up to 1.5 meters deep and effectively use small precipitation in June and July, which mainly moisturizes the soil to a depth of 5 cm. Early winter sowings of spring wheat are less susceptible to droughts, Favorable soil moisture and air temperature in the spring provide early shoots, plant development and 1.5–2-fold increase in yield. With early winter sowings, the efficiency of using annual precipitation increases to 50–55%.
The predominant area of application of the developed methodology is the construction of the distribution of the geodynamic state of the developed hydrocarbon fields in oil and gas basin, and the identification of the corresponding distribution law. A number of the hydrocarbon deposits in terms of geological conditions of occurrence, structure and other parameters are geodynamically hazardous during their development. The Federal Law «On Subsurface Resources» (Article 24) requires conducting a complex of geological, surveying, and other observations sufficient for ensuring a normal technological cycle of work, and the prediction of hazardous situations. The developed methodology based on the construction of aggregated additive models for each reservoir and field is presented. It includes four sequential stages (24 operations): first — prepare geodynamic data; second — determine the geodynamic state of productive strata; third — find the geodynamic state of the developed deposits subsoil; fourth — build the distribution of the bowels geodynamic state of these fields for the entire oil and gas basin and identify the relevant distribution law. Oil and gas basin in the west of the Orenburg Region (Volga — Ural and Caspian oil and gas provinces) is considered as an example of implementation. Unique data of twenty geodynamic parameters of 320 productive strata (56 fields) were used. It is revealed that in accordance with the Pearson criterion, the theoretical data with a high confidence probability (95 %) correspond to the law of normal distribution. Developed methodology has significant technical and economic advantages, since it allows to identify the geodynamic state of productive strata and subsoil of the fields being developed, to identify hazardous geodynamic processes and to choose rational modes for the development of hydrocarbon deposits.
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