A mixture of probability distributions is a mathematical model that allows to describe heterogeneous data. The task of separating mixtures or decomposition is the task of estimating the unknown parameters of miscible distributions. Despite the adequacy of the description of heterogeneous data, the decomposition of mixtures is a separate problem, due to the large number of parameters to be evaluated. The article carries out historical periodization,systematization, and a critical comparative analysis of existing methods and algorithms for decomposition of mixtures of probability distributions, identifies the possibilities and limitations of their application for the analysis of real populations. Based on existing algorithms, a method for separating mixtures of an arbitrary known number of probability distributions and a further typological grouping of real socio-economic aggregates is proposed. Unlike existing methods, a method for calculating threshold values to determine the boundaries of types and the number of components of the mixture, in cases where it is unknown, is proposed. Based on the proposed methodology, a typology of the subjects of the Russian Federation by the level of unemployment in the Russian Federation is carried out.
We study the model of interregional trade under monopolistic competition of producers. We obtain a local comparative statics of symmetric social optimality with respect to transport costs. Particular attention is paid to situations of free trade and autarky. For the case of two regions, counterintuitive results we obtain that (1) with low transport costs in one of the regions, public welfare can either increase or decrease; (2) when transport costs are high, trade liberalization worsens public welfare in one region and improves it in another.
The authors studied heterogeneous samples (for a number of statistical populations) taken from finite mixtures of probability distribu- tions, which reflect a number of socio-economic characteristics of the Russian society, using the information resources of the Federal State Statistics Service; in this case the number of mixing distributions (components), as well as their corresponding weights and parameters, may be unknown. In terms of content, the problem of separation (decomposition) of mixtures can be reduced to estimating unknown parameters of mixing distributions and their weights.The article considers and discusses methods for solving this problem, their advantages and disadvantages, conditions and areas of application. In the study the decomposition of mixtures of probability distributions on the population of subjects of the RussianFederation was carried out according to three interrelated statistical indicators – the unemployment rate, the poverty rate, the level of violence. These indicators can be considered as statistical measure of achieving sustainable development goals at the regional level and, at the same time, measures of socio-economic «health» of territory. Typologies of subjects of the Russian Federation were carried out according to the listed indicators. A cross-comparison of the results of the obtained typological groupings was performed, which also made it possible to identify the subjects of the Russian Federation that differ in both negative and positive trends in the context of the indicators under consideration.The authors underline that the results of the study can be used by the authorities to develop specific measures for the socio-economic development of Russia and its regions.
We study a homogeneous model of interregional trade under monopolistic competition of producers with additively separable utility and linear production costs. The mass of firms (“the length of the product line”) is determined endogenously, from conditions of free entry. We obtain the local comparative statics of the market equilibrium with respect to transport costs of “iceberg types”. Particular attention is paid to situations of free trade and autarky. We establish the following counter-intuitive result: under high transport costs, trade liberalization can decrease public welfare.
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