The aim of this study was to develop a new composite endpoint that accurately reflects the long-term success of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT), as the conventional graft-versus-host disease (GVHD)-free, relapse-free survival (GRFS) overestimates the impact of GVHD. First, we validated current GRFS (cGRFS), which recently was proposed as a more accurate endpoint of long-term transplant success. cGRFS was defined as survival without disease relapse/progression or active chronic GVHD at a given time after allo-HSCT, calculated using 2 distinct methods: a linear combination of a Kaplan-Meier estimates approach and a multistate modelling approach. Next, we developed a new composite endpoint, refractory GRFS (rGRFS). rGRFS was calculated similarly to conventional GRFS treating grade III to IV acute GVHD, chronic GVHD requiring systemic treatment, and disease relapse/progression as events, except that GVHD that resolved and did not require systemic treatment at the last evaluation was excluded as an event in rGRFS. The 2 cGRFS curves obtained using 2 different approaches were superimposed and both were superior to that of conventional GRFS, reflecting the proportion of patients with resolved chronic GVHD. Finally, the curves of cGRFS and rGRFS overlapped after the first 2 years of post-transplant follow-up. These results suggest that cGRFS and rGRFS more accurately reflect transplant success than conventional GRFS. Especially, rGRFS can be more easily calculated than cGRFS and analyzed with widely used statistical approaches, whereas cGRFS more accurately represents the burden of GVHD-related morbidity in the first 2 years after transplantation.
Background: We evaluated the clinical impact of cytomegalovirus (CMV) reactivation calculated in terms of the area under the curve of CMV antigenemia (CMV-AUC) on the development of invasive mold infection (IMI) in the post-engraftment phase after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). Methods: Among 394 consecutive patients who underwent their first allogeneic HSCT at our center between 2007 and 2018, 335 were included after excluding patients with a past history of invasive fungal disease (IFD), the development of IFD before engraftment, engraftment failure, or early death within 30 days. CMV antigenemia (CMV-AG) was monitored weekly after engraftment and 3 or more cells/2 slides were regarded as positive. CMV-AUC was calculated by the trapezoidal method using the number of CMV-AG after logarithmic transformation and the duration in weeks and was added until negative conversion. Patients with CMV reactivation were divided into low and high CMV-AUC groups using the median value of CMV-AUC as a threshold. Results: There were 17 proven/probable IMIs including one mucormycosis and 16 probable invasive aspergillosis, and the 2-year cumulative incidence was 1.0% in the negative CMV-AUC group (n = 136), 3.3% in the low CMV-AUC group (n = 98) and 13.8% in the high CMV-AUC group (n = 101) (P = .001). In a multivariate analysis, grade II-IV acute GVHD (HR 3.74) and CMV-AUC (HR low 1.25, high 5.91) were identified as independent significant factors associated with a higher incidence of IMI. Conclusions: Cytomegalovirus kinetics evaluated in terms of CMV-AUC were significantly associated with the development of IMI in the post-engraftment phase after allogeneic HSCT. How to cite this article: Kimura S-I, Takeshita J, Kawamura M, et al. Association between the kinetics of cytomegalovirus reactivation evaluated in terms of the area under the curve of cytomegalovirus antigenemia and invasive mold infection during the post-engraftment phase after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. Transpl Infect Dis.
Background: We retrospectively evaluated the association between the D-index, which reflects both the depth and duration of neutropenia, and proven/probable invasive fungal disease (IFD) early after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) at our center (n = 394). Methods: The D-index was defined as the area over the neutrophil curve during neutropenia. The cumulative D-index from the start of neutropenia until the development of infection (c-D-index) was also evaluated as a real-time assessment of neutropenia. Results: There were 19 cases of early proven/probable IFD before and within 1 week after engraftment. Fifteen cases (78.9%) were seen as breakthrough infection while on empiric (n = 7), preemptive (n = 4) or prophylactic (n = 4) antifungal administration with mold-active agents. The c-D-index and lower performance status were identified as independent significant predictive factors for IFD. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed that the D-index and c-D-index were more accurate than the simple duration of neutropenia and as accurate as the duration of profound neutropenia for predicting IFD. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of the c-D-index using an appropriate cutoff (CO) value (10 644) determined by ROC curve analysis were 73.1%, 63.2%, 9.1%, and 97.9%, respectively. The advantage of the c-D-index to cumulative days of neutropenia in terms of positive and negative predictive values seemed to be small. Conclusions: The appropriate CO value for the c-D-index for predicting IFD was as high as 10 644 in allogeneic HSCT with a more frequent use of empiric antifungal therapy. The c-D-index is useful for assessing the risk of breakthrough IFD.
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