Millions of people in Indonesia traditionally return to their home town every year in a tradition called "mudik". Unlike previous years, the annual tradition has become a cause for concern after COVID-19. This article presents the potential of mudik flows patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic, which were divided into 11 regions. We use a circlize plot chord diagram to show the potential of mudik flows patterns based on primary survey data on community perceptions regarding mobility and transportation during COVID-19. The results show that the most massive mudik flow is expected to occur from Jabodetabek to Central Java. Jabodetabek is the highest mudik origin, while Central Java and East Java are the highest mudik destinations. We suggest that government should anticipate the spread of COVID-19 by limiting mobility as they have been done this year. In addition, this must also be supported by citizen's awareness and coordination between local governments.

Increasing the participation of Labor Social Security in Indonesia has become the government's commitment. However, until now, there are still many workers who have not participated in labor social security. This paper aims to analyze the gap in the social security membership of workers in Indonesia. Data for analysis is SAKERNAS, August 2018 issued by BPS. Data analysis was carried out by descriptive analysis with both tables and graphics. The results of the analysis show that the participation of workers in labor security in Indonesia is 41.45%. Disparities in labor social security membership occurred in the formal and informal sectors of 48.92% and 1.13%, respectively. Disparities in labor security membership also occur according to main industry, province of residence, gender, and level of education. By sector, the lowest participation occurred in the construction and accommodation sector (20.26%), while the highest participation was in the electricity and gas sector (72.26%). For workers with a diploma education and above, labor security participation is 64.34%, while in junior high school and below, the participation is 19.55%. The participation of labor security in casual workers is still low. Limited income is the main obstacle for informal sector workers and free workers to participate in Labor Social Security. For this reason, it is necessary to think about a subsidized financing scheme so that labor social security does not burden the informal sector workers.

Potensi perikanan di Indonesia sangat melimpah, namun keberadaannya tidak diimbangi dengan ketersediaan sumber daya manusia kelautan dan perikanan (SDM KP) yang cukup dan berkualitas. Kondisi itu menjadi tantangan bagi pemerintah, yang mencanangkan agenda poros maritim dunia sejak 2014 sebagaimana tertuang dalam RPJMN 2020—2024. Untuk itu, pengoptimalan potensi k e l a u t a n d a n p e r i k a n a n perlu dilakukan dengan menciptakan SDM di seluruh tingkat pendidikan, terutama SMKKP, yang nantinya berperan sebagai penggerak sektor ini. Selain ketidaksesuaian antara supply dan demand tenaga kerja, permasalahan lain dari lulusan SMK KP adalah educational mismatch di dunia kerja. Artikel ini melaporkan analisis kondisi ketenagakerjaan lulusanSMK, dipetakan potensi KP dan penyerapan tenaga kerja di tingkat lokal, serta dikaji permasalahan educational mismatch. Analisis dilakukan secara kuantitatif dengan menggunakan clustering parallel threshold analysis, yang menghasilkan elastisitas penyerapan tenaga kerja (EPTK). Hasil clustering menunjukkan bahwa beberapa wilayah, seperti NTT, Maluku, dan beberapa provinsi di Sulawesi memiliki kondisi potensi kelautan dan perikanan yang tinggi, tetapi EPTK rendah sehingga pemerintah daerah perlu meningkatkan supply tenaga kerja agar dapat mengoptimallkan potensi KP. Adapun wilayah di Kalimantan Tengah, Kalimantan Utara, Maluku Utara, dan Papua Barat memiliki potensi KP yang rendah, tetapi EPTK tinggi sehingga mengalami oversupply tenaga kerja. Pemerintah lokal perlu mengupayakan diversifikasi pekerjaan agar penyerapan tenaga kerja bisa meningkatkan produktivitas perikanan di tingkat lokal. Tingkat educational mismatch lulusan SMK KP yang mencapai 96,24% perlu diatasi melalui program link and match yang fokus pada tujuan pasar sehingga SMK dapat mencetak lulusan yang keterampilan dan kualitasnya sesuai dengan kriteria dunia usaha dan industri. Title: Analysis of Labor Absorption and Link & Match Program in Vocational School Graduates of Marine & Fisheries ProgramThe potential of fisheries in Indonesia is greatly abundant, but its existence is not adequate with the availability and quality of the marine and fisheries human resources. This condition is a challenge for the government, which has launched the world maritime axis agenda since 2014 as stated in the National Medium-Term Development Plan for 2020-2024. Therefore, it is necessary to optimize the potential of marine and fisheries by creating human resources at all levels of education, especially marine and fisheries vocational school or SMK KP, which will later act as a driving force for the fisheries sector. In addition to the mismatch between supply and demand for labor, another problem for SMK KP graduates is the educational mismatch at work. This article reports an analysis of the employment conditions of the vocational school graduates, mapped the potential of marine and fisheries sector, and employment at the local level, and examined educational mismatch issues. The analysis was carried out quantitatively using clustering parallel threshold analysis, which resulted in the elasticity of employment absorption (EPTK). The clustering results show that several regions, such as NTT, Maluku, and several provinces in Sulawesi have high marine and fishery potential conditions but have low EPTK, therefore, the local governments need to increase the supply of labor in order to optimize the potential of marine and fisheries. The areas in Central Kalimantan, North Kalimantan, North Maluku, and West Papua have low marine and fisheries potential but have high EPTK, resulting in an oversupply of labor. Local governments need to seek job diversification so that employment can increase fishery productivity at the local level. The educational mismatch level of graduates of marine and fisheries vocational school, which reaches 96.24%, needs to be overcome through a link and match program that focuses on market objectives so that vocational school can produce graduates whose skills and quality are in accordance with the criteria required by the business world and industry.

Indonesia was experiencing trade globalization in the form of decreasing and uniforming tariffs and eliminating various non-tariff barriers. Trade globalization had a positive and negative impact on Indonesian's welfare. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the effect of Trades Globalization on Indonesians Welfare. The Trade globalization was measured by three variables, namely Trade Openness, Inflation, and Exchange Rate. While Indonesians Welfare was measured by three aspects, namely education aspect using School Enrollment, health aspect using Life Expectancy, and economic aspect using the GDP Per capita. The data used was time series data from 1971-2016. This study applied mix-methods, quantitatively using Structural Equation Modeling Partial Least Square (SEM-PLS) and qualitatively using desk study. The results indicated that Trade Openness and Exchange Rate were positive and significant indicators in measuring Trade globalization. In addition, School Enrollment and GDP Per capita were also positive and significant indicators in measuring Indonesians Welfare. In general, the test showed that Trade globalization had a negative and significant influence on Indonesians Welfare. This fact suggested the importance of controlling exchange rate stability in Indonesia because the exchange rate could affect people's ability to maintain lives through purchasing power. In addition, globalization measured through Trade Openness could be an accommodation to obtain new technology in various fields, such as in education to improve the quality of human resources, in the health sector to treat various diseases and reduce the risk of death, and in the economy, sector to increase Per capita income.

Governments commitment in eradicating malaria has been realized in Malaria elimination program. The program aims to reduce Malaria case to zero in 2030. Starting from 2011, Indonesia suffered a drop in APIs value from 1,75 to 0,84. Despite the numerous drop in Malaria cases, some regions are still suffering from large major outbreaks especially in eastern Indonesia. WHO declares that Indonesia is a country at risk of malaria, because of the high rates of malaria morbidity. The aims of this paper is to predict the trend of malaria morbidity with the API variable value of each province in Indonesia. The method used in this research is probabilistic method using extrapolation trends and ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) using variation percentage of training and testing data to obtain the best prediction method. Result of this article is API value scenario in Indonesia up to 2030. Based on the analysis result, the best method to predict the value of API is exponential growth method because it has the smallest MAPE value, which is 38.48 using 80% training data and 20% testing data. The prediction results show that from year 2018 to 2030, the value of API will decrease from 0.45 to 0.016.