The most prominent effect of the weakest link theory, which is used to derive the Weibull statistics of ceramic strength, is the size effect. In this study, we analyze the size effect on ceramic strength using the finite element analysis (FEA) methodology previously proposed by the authors. In the FEA methodology, the data of the microstructure distribution (i.e., relative density, size, and aspect ratio of the pore and the grain size) are considered as input parameters of a continuum damage model via a fracture mechanical model. Specifically, we examine five sizes of rectangular specimens under three types of loading conditions. Then, we simulate the fracture stresses of sets of 30 specimens under each size and loading condition and obtain the relationship between the scale parameter and effective volume using the Weibull distribution. The results suggest that the proposed FEA methodology can be applied to the analysis of the fracture probability of ceramics, including the size effect.

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