The negative effects of environmental problems such as climate change, pollution, and energy-security have increased the pressure for cleaner and more efficient renewable energy sources. 1 Wind power is a fundamental part of the transition to renewable energy 2 ; in 2017, an estimated 17% of all renewable-generated electricity worldwide came from wind sources, 3 and wind energy corresponded to approximately 23% of all the renewable energy production capacity worldwide. 4 The potential for the exploitation of this resource is enormous; it is estimated that by 2050 it will be able to supply approximately 4.4 TW, which corresponds to roughly 37% of all of the end-use power supply in the world. 1
The civilian airplane is a common transportation mode for the local people in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). Due to the profound dynamic and thermal effects, the QTP can trigger strong windstorms during the warm season, during which downbursts can cause severe low-level wind shear and threaten aviation safety. However, the study of downbursts over QTP has not been given much attention. This study analyzes and interprets a typical traveling dry microburst line that happened at the Xining Caojiapu International Airport (ZLXN) on 14 May 2020, intending to show a better understanding of the dry downbursts over QTP and explore the synergetic usage of different remote sensing technologies for downburst detection and warning in plateau airports. Specifically, the characteristics of synoptic conditions, the convective system formation process, and the structure and evolution of downbursts and relevant low-level winds are comprehensively investigated. The results show that, under the control of an upstream shallow trough, features of the local atmosphere state, including a dry-adiabatic stratification, a shallow temperature inversion, increases in solar radiation heating, and strong vertical shears of horizontal winds, can be favorable atmospheric prerequisites for the formation and development of dry storms and downbursts. Low-reflectivity storm cells of the Mesoscale Convective System (MCS) organize to form narrow bow echoes, and downbursts show features of radial wind convergences and rapid descending reflectivity cores with hanging virga as observed by a Doppler weather radar. Moreover, details of gales, gust fronts, convergences, turbulences, wind collisions, and outflow interactions triggered by the downburst line are also detected and interpreted by a scanning Doppler wind lidar from different perspectives. In addition, the findings in this work have been compared with the results observed in Denver, U.S., and some simulation studies. Finally, a few conceptual models of low-level wind evolutions influenced by the dry downburst line are given.
The mesoscale Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model has been widely employed to forecast day-ahead rainfalls. However, the deterministic predictions from the WRF model incorporate relatively large errors due to numerical discretization, inaccuracies in initial/boundary conditions and parameterizations, etc. Among them, the uncertainties in parameterization schemes have a huge impact on the forecasting skill of rainfalls, especially over the Sichuan Basin which is located east of the Tibetan Plateau in southwestern China. To figure out the impact of various parameterization schemes and their interactions on rainfall predictions over the Sichuan Basin, the Global Forecast System data are chosen as the initial/boundary conditions for the WRF model and 48 ensemble tests have been conducted based on different combinations of four microphysical (MP) schemes, four planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes, and three cumulus (CU) schemes, for four rainfall cases in summer. Compared to the observations obtained from the Chinese ground-based and encrypted stations, it is found that the Goddard MP scheme together with the asymmetric convective model version 2 PBL scheme outperforms other combinations. Next, as the first step to explore further improvement of the WRF physical schemes, the polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) approach is then adopted to quantify the impacts of several empirical parameters with uncertainties in the WRF Single Moment 6-class (WSM6) MP scheme, the Yonsei University (YSU) PBL scheme and the Kain-Fritsch CU scheme on WRF rainfall predictions. The PCE statistics show that the uncertainty of the scaling factor applied to ice fall velocity in the WSM6 scheme and the profile shape exponent in the YSU scheme affects more dominantly the rainfall predictions in comparison with other parameters, which sheds a light on the importance of these schemes for the rainfall predictions over the Sichuan Basin and suggests the next step to further improve the physical schemes.
Under different water vapor and dynamic conditions, and the influence of topographies and atmospheric environments, stratiform precipitation over South China and the Tibetan Plateau can produce different features. In this study, stratiform precipitation vertical characteristics, bright-band (BB) microstructures, and the vertical variations of the raindrop size distribution (DSD) over a low-altitude site (Longmen site, 86 m) in South China and a high-altitude site (Nagqu site, 4507 m) on the Tibetan Plateau were comprehensively investigated and compared using measurements from a Ka-band millimeter-wave cloud radar (CR), a K-band microrain radar (MRR), and a Parsivel disdrometer (disdrometer). A reliable BB identification scheme was proposed on the basis of CR variables and used for stratiform precipitation sample selection and further statistics and analysis. Results indicate that melting layers over the Longmen are much higher and slightly thicker than those over the Nagqu due to significant differences in atmospheric conditions. For stratiform precipitation, vertical air motions and radar variables over the two sites show different variation trends from cloud top to the ground. Vertical air motions are very weak in the stratiform precipitation over the Longmen, whereas updrafts are more active over the Nagqu. Above the melting layer, radar equivalent reflectivity factor Ze (mean Doppler velocity VM) gradually increases (decreases) as height decreases over the two sites, but the aggregation rate for ice particles over the Longmen can be faster. In the melting layer, Ze (VM) at the BB bottom/center over the Longmen is larger (smaller) than those over the Nagqu for the reason that melted raindrops in the melting layers over the Longmen are larger than those over the Nagqu. Below the melting layer, profiles of radar variables and DSDs show completely different behaviors over the two sites, which reflects that the collision, coalescence, evaporation, and breakup processes of raindrops are different between the two sites. Over the Longmen, collision and coalescence dominate the precipitation properties; in particular, from 2.0–2.8 km, the breakup process competes with collision–coalescence processes but later is overpowered. In contrast, due to the lower BB heights over the Nagqu, collision and coalescence dominate raindrop properties. Comparisons of raindrop spectra suggest that the concentration of small (medium-to-large) raindrops over the Nagqu is much higher (slightly lower) than that over the Longmen. Therefore, the mass-weighted mean diameter Dm (the generalized intercept parameter Nw) over the Nagqu is smaller (larger) than that over the Longmen.
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