Objective To develop and validate models for predicting distant metastases in patients with solid lung adenocarcinomas using 3D radiomic features, 2D radiomic features, clinical features, and their combinations. Methods This retrospective study included 253 eligible patients with solid adenocarcinoma of the lung diagnosed at our hospital between August 2018 and August 2021. 3D and 2D regions of interest were segmented from computed tomography-enhanced thin-slice images of the venous phase, and 851 radiomic features were extracted in each region. The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) algorithm was used to select radiomic features and calculate radiomic scores, and logistic regression was used to develop the model. Development of a 3D radiomics model (model 1), a 2D radiomics model (model 2), a combined 3D radiomics and 2D radiomics model (model 3), a clinical model (model 4), and a comprehensive model (model 5) for the prediction of distant metastases in patients with solid lung adenocarcinomas. Nomograms were drawn to illustrate model 5, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used for model evaluation. Results The AUC (area under the curve) of model 1, model 2, model 3, model 4, and model 5 in the test set was 0.711, 0.769, 0.775, 0.829, and 0.892, respectively. The Delong test showed that AUC values were statistically different between model 5 and model 1 (p=0.001), and there was no statistical difference in AUC between the other models. Based on a comprehensive review of DCA, ROC curve, and Akaike information criterion (AIC), Model 5 is demonstrated to have better clinical utility, goodness of fit, and parsimony. Conclusion A comprehensive model based on 3D radiomic features, 2D radiomic features, and clinical features has the potential to predict distant metastasis in patients with solid lung adenocarcinomas.
ObjectiveBased on pretherapy dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) images, we developed and validated a nomogram combined with clinical parameters and radiomic features to predict the pathologic subtypes of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) — adenocarcinoma (ADC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC).MethodsA total of 129 pathologically confirmed NSCLC patients treated at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University from October 2017 to October 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were randomly divided in a ratio of 7:3 (n=90) into training and validation cohorts (n=39). Patients’ pretherapy clinical parameters were recorded. Radiomics features of the primary lesion were extracted from two sets of monoenergetic images (40 keV and 100 keV) in arterial phases (AP) and venous phases (VP). Features were selected successively through the intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was then performed to establish predictive models. The prediction performance between models was evaluated and compared using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, DeLong test, and Akaike information criterion (AIC). A nomogram was developed based on the model with the best predictive performance to evaluate its calibration and clinical utility.ResultsA total of 87 ADC and 42 SCC patients were enrolled in this study. Among the five constructed models, the integrative model (AUC: Model 4 = 0.92, Model 5 = 0.93) combining clinical parameters and radiomic features had a higher AUC than the individual clinical models or radiomic models (AUC: Model 1 = 0.84, Model 2 = 0.79, Model 3 = 0.84). The combined clinical-venous phase radiomics model had the best predictive performance, goodness of fit, and parsimony; the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the training and validation cohorts was 0.93 and 0.90, respectively, and the AIC value was 60.16. Then, this model was visualized as a nomogram. The calibration curves demonstrated it’s good calibration, and decision curve analysis (DCA) proved its clinical utility.ConclusionThe combined clinical-radiomics model based on pretherapy DECT showed good performance in distinguishing ADC and SCC of the lung. The nomogram constructed based on the best-performing combined clinical-venous phase radiomics model provides a relatively accurate, convenient and noninvasive method for predicting the pathological subtypes of ADC and SCC in NSCLC.
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