Abstract. Due to the uncertainty concerning the location of flow paths on active alluvial fans, alluvial fan floods could be more dangerous than riverine floods. The United States Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) used a simple stochastic model named FAN for this purpose, which has been practiced for many years. In the last decade, this model has been criticized as a consequence of development of more complex computer models. This study was conducted on three alluvial fans located in northeast and southeast Iran using a combination of the FAN model, the hydraulic portion of the FLO-2D model, and geomorphological information. Initial stages included three steps: (a) identifying the alluvial fans' landforms, (b) determining the active and inactive areas of alluvial fans, and (c) delineating 100-year flood within these selected areas. This information was used as an input in the mentioned three approaches of the (i) FLO-2D model, (ii) geomorphological method, and (iii) FAN model. Thereafter, the results of each model were obtained and geographical information system (GIS) layers were created and overlaid. Afterwards, using a scoring system, the results were evaluated and compared. The goal of this research was to introduce a simple but effective solution to estimate the flood hazards. It was concluded that the integrated method proposed in this study is superior at projecting alluvial fan flood hazards with minimum required input data, simplicity, and affordability, which are considered the primary goals of such comprehensive studies. These advantages are more highlighted in underdeveloped and developing countries, which may well lack detailed data and financially cannot support such costly projects. Furthermore, such a highly cost-effective method could be greatly advantageous and pragmatic for developed countries.
Abstract. Due to the uncertainty concerning the location of flow paths on active alluvial fans, alluvial fan floods could be more dangerous than riverine floods. FEMA used a simple stochastic model named FAN in this regard for many years. In the last decade, this model has been criticized as a consequence of developing complex computer models. 15Instead, more recent hydraulic models with capability of avulsion simulation were recommended. This study was conducted on three alluvial fans located in the northeast and southeast part of Iran using combination of FAN model, FLO-2D model and geomorphological information. Initial stages included three steps: a) identifying the alluvial fans' landforms, b) determining the active and inactive areas of alluvial fans, and c) delineating 100-year flood within these selected areas. This information was used as an input in the mentioned three approaches of: I) FLO-2D model, II) 20 geomorphological method, and III) FAN model. Thereafter, the results of each model were obtained and Geographical Information System (GIS) layers were created and overlaid. Afterwards, using a scoring system, the results were summarized and then the integrated method was compared with the three approaches.
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