Key Results: Three Chinese radiologists had a sensitivity of 72%, 72% and 94% and specificity of 94%, 88% and 24% in differentiating 219 COVID-19 from 205 non-COVID-19 pneumonia. Four United States radiologists had a sensitivity of 93%, 83%, 73% and 73% and specificity of 100%, 93%, 93% and 100%. The most discriminating features for COVID-19 pneumonia included a peripheral distribution (80% vs. 57%, p<0.001), ground-glass opacity (91% vs. 68%, p<0.001) and vascular thickening (58% vs. 22%, p<0.001). Manuscript type: original researchThe total number of words of the manuscript, including entire text from title page to tables and references: 4364 This copy is for personal use only. To order printed copies, contact reprints@rsna.org I n P r e s s Performance of radiologists in differentiating COVID-19 from viral pneumonia on chest CT Summary: Radiologists had high specificity but moderate sensitivity in differentiating COVID-19 from viral pneumonia on chest CT. Key Results: Three Chinese radiologists had sensitivities of 72%, 72% and 94% and specificities of 94%, 88% and 24% in differentiating 219 COVID-19 from 205 non-COVID-19 pneumonia. Four United States radiologists had sensitivities of 93%, 83%, 73% and 73% and specificities of 100%, 93%, 93% and 100%. The most discriminating features for COVID-19 pneumonia included a peripheral distribution (80% vs. 57%, p<0.001), ground-glass opacity (91% vs. 68%, p<0.001) and vascular thickening (58% vs. 22%, p<0.001). Abstract Background: Despite its high sensitivity in diagnosing COVID-19 in a screening population, chest CT appearances of COVID 19 pneumonia are thought to be non-specific. Purpose: To assess the performance of United States (U.S.) and Chinese radiologists in differentiating COVID-19 from viral pneumonia on chest CT. Methods: A total of 219 patients with both positive COVID-19 by RT-PCR and abnormal chest CT findings were retrospectively identified from 7 Chinese hospitals in Hunan Providence, China from January 6 to February 20, 2020. A total of 205 patients with positive Respiratory Pathogen Panel for viral pneumonia and CT findings consistent with or highly suspicious for pneumonia by original radiology interpretation within 7 days of each other were identified from Rhode Island Hospital in Providence, RI. Three Chinese radiologists blindly reviewed all chest CTs (n=424) to differentiate COVID-19 from viral pneumonia. A sample of 58 age-matched cases was randomly selected and evaluated by 4 U.S. radiologists in a similar fashion. Different CT features were recorded and compared between the two groups. Results: For all chest CTs, three Chinese radiologists correctly differentiated COVID-19 from non-COVID-19 pneumonia 83% (350/424), 80% (338/424), and 60% (255/424) of the time, respectively. The seven radiologists had sensitivities of 80%, 67%, 97%, 93%, 83%, 73% and 70% and specificities of 100%, 93%, 7%, 100%, 93%, 93%, 100%. Compared to non-COVID-19 pneumonia, COVID-19 pneumonia was more likely to have a peripheral distribution (80% vs. 57%, p...
AI assistance improved radiologists' performance in distinguishing COVID-19 from pneumonia of other etiology on chest CT. Key Results: An AI model had higher test accuracy (96% vs 85%, p<0.001), sensitivity (95% vs 79%, p<0.001), and specificity (96% vs 88%, p=0.002) than radiologists. In an independent test set, our AI model achieved an accuracy of 87%, sensitivity of 89% and specificity of 86%. With AI assistance, the radiologists achieved a higher average accuracy (90% vs 85%, p<0.001), sensitivity (88% vs 79%, p<0.001) and specificity (91% vs 88%, p=0.001). AbstractBackground: COVID-19 and pneumonia of other etiology share similar CT characteristics, contributing to the challenges in differentiating them with high accuracy.Purpose: To establish and evaluate an artificial intelligence (AI) system in differentiating COVID-19 and other pneumonia on chest CT and assess radiologist performance without and with AI assistance.Methods: 521 patients with positive RT-PCR for COVID-19 and abnormal chest CT findings were retrospectively identified from ten hospitals from January 2020 to April 2020. 665 patients with non-COVID-19 pneumonia and definite evidence of pneumonia on chest CT were retrospectively selected from three hospitals between 2017 and 2019. To classify COVID-19 versus other pneumonia for each patient, abnormal CT slices were input into the EfficientNet B4 deep neural network architecture after lung segmentation, followed by two-layer fully-connected neural network to pool slices together.Our final cohort of 1,186 patients (132,583 CT slices) was divided into training, validation and test sets in a 7:2:1 and equal ratio. Independent testing was performed by evaluating model performance on separate hospitals. Studies were blindly reviewed by six radiologists without and then with AI assistance.Results: Our final model achieved a test accuracy of 96% (95% CI: 90-98%), sensitivity 95% (95% CI: 83-100%) and specificity of 96% (95% CI: 88-99%) with Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) AUC of 0.95 and Precision-Recall (PR) AUC of 0.90. On independent testing, our model achieved an accuracy of 87% (95% CI: 82-90%), sensitivity of 89% (95% CI: 81-94%) and specificity of 86% (95% CI: 80-90%) with ROC AUC of 0.90 and PR AUC of 0.87. Assisted by the models' probabilities, the radiologists achieved a higher average test accuracy (90% vs. 85%, ∆=5, p<0.001), sensitivity (88% vs. 79%, ∆=9, p<0.001) and specificity (91% vs. 88%, ∆=3, p=0.001).
Readmissions of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) to hospitals cast a heavy burden to health care systems. This meta-analysis was aimed to assess the efficacy of continuity of care as interventions, which reduced readmission and mortality rates of such patients. PubMed, Cochrane Library and Embase were searched for articles published before July 2015. A total of 31 reports with randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were finally included in this meta-analysis. The results showed that health education reduced all-cause readmission at 3 months. In addition, health education, comprehensive nursing intervention (CNI) and telemonitoring reduced all-cause readmissions over 6-12 months, and the effect of CNI was best because CNI also reduced COPD-specific readmissions. Home visits also reduced COPD-specific readmissions (the quality more than moderate), but it did not reduce the risk for all-cause readmissions (risk ratios (RRs), 0.92 [95% CI, 0.82-1.04]; moderate quality). There was no statistically significant difference in reducing mortality and quality of life (QOL) among various continued cares. In conclusion, CNI, telemonitoring, health education and home visits should receive more consideration than other interventions by caregivers seeking to implement continued care interventions for patients with COPD.
BackgroundMobile health applications are increasingly used in patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) to improve their self-management, nonetheless, without firm evidence of their efficacy. This meta-analysis was aimed to assess the efficacy of mobile health applications in supporting self-management as an intervention to reduce hospital admission rates and average days of hospitalization, etc.MethodsPubMed, Web of Science (SCI), Cochrane Library, and Embase were searched for relevant articles published before November 14th, 2017. A total of 6 reports with randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were finally included in this meta-analysis.ResultsPatients using mobile phone applications may have a lower risk for hospital admissions than those in the usual care group (risk ratio (RR) = 0.73, 95% CI [0.52, 1.04]). However, there was no significant difference in reducing the average days of hospitalization.ConclusionSelf-management with mobile phone applications could reduce hospital admissions of patients with COPD.
Objectives Early recognition of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity can guide patient management. However, it is challenging to predict when COVID-19 patients will progress to critical illness. This study aimed to develop an artificial intelligence system to predict future deterioration to critical illness in COVID-19 patients. Methods An artificial intelligence (AI) system in a time-to-event analysis framework was developed to integrate chest CT and clinical data for risk prediction of future deterioration to critical illness in patients with COVID-19. Results A multi-institutional international cohort of 1,051 patients with RT-PCR confirmed COVID-19 and chest CT was included in this study. Of them, 282 patients developed critical illness, which was defined as requiring ICU admission and/or mechanical ventilation and/or reaching death during their hospital stay. The AI system achieved a C-index of 0.80 for predicting individual COVID-19 patients’ to critical illness. The AI system successfully stratified the patients into high-risk and low-risk groups with distinct progression risks ( p < 0.0001). Conclusions Using CT imaging and clinical data, the AI system successfully predicted time to critical illness for individual patients and identified patients with high risk. AI has the potential to accurately triage patients and facilitate personalized treatment. Key Point • AI system can predict time to critical illness for patients with COVID-19 by using CT imaging and clinical data. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00330-021-08049-8.
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